Cruzeiro FC vs Sao Paulo Prediction - 8 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
74%Odds 1.33
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
Form
- W 3-1
- L 1-2
- W 3-1
- L 1-2
- L 1-3
- L 1-2
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- L 0-2
- L 0-1
Head to head
- 4 Apr 2026 Sao Paulo 4 Cruzeiro FC 1 Serie A
- 31 Aug 2025 Cruzeiro FC 1 Sao Paulo 0 Serie A
- 13 Apr 2025 Sao Paulo 1 Cruzeiro FC 1 Serie A
Match analysis
Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo on 8 October gets Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.33. Every one of Cruzeiro's last five games had at least three goals in it, the 3-1 win at Vitoria on 20 September among them, and the model puts a 74 percent chance on two or more here, with 1-1 as its correct score.
Cruzeiro's last five finished 3-1, 1-2, 3-1, 1-2 and 1-3
Cruzeiro conceded in all five of those games and scored in all five, averaging 1.8 goals a game. The model builds each side's expected goals from what it scores and what it concedes, and Sao Paulo have let in goals in four of their last five, including 2-0 at Palmeiras and a 2-1 home defeat to Santos on 2 October. That puts the weight of the score grid on 1-1 and 2-1, and both clear the line.
Sao Paulo won 1-0 against Internacional and lost 1-0 at Boca Juniors
Over 1.5 loses on 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1. Sao Paulo's attack is the weak side of this match at 0.6 goals a game, and two of their last five ended 1-0, a home win over Internacional on 20 September and a defeat at Boca Juniors. A repeat of that scoreline for either team beats the pick.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
Today's acca
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League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +32 | 60 | ||
| 2 | 28 | +26 | 57 | ||
| 3 | 28 | +11 | 49 | ||
| 4 | 28 | +8 | 48 | ||
| 5 | 28 | +8 | 46 | ||
| 6 | 28 | +2 | 45 | ||
| 7 | 21 | -3 | 30 | ||
| 7 | 27 | +4 | 40 | ||
| 8 | 27 | +1 | 38 | ||
| 9 | 28 | -6 | 38 | ||
| 10 | 27 | +2 | 36 | ||
| 11 | 27 | +2 | 36 | ||
| 12 | 28 | -4 | 35 | ||
| 13 | 28 | -14 | 33 | ||
| 14 | 28 | -3 | 32 | ||
| 15 | 28 | -9 | 32 | ||
| 16 | 27 | -7 | 31 | ||
| 17 | 28 | -8 | 29 | ||
| 18 | 28 | -6 | 28 | ||
| 19 | 28 | -15 | 23 | ||
| 20 | 27 | -24 | 18 | ||
| 20 | 20 | -22 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | DDWWL |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Cruzeiro FC | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 | WLWDW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 40 | WDWLW |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | LDLLW |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 | DDWWW |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | DLLDL |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | WDWLD |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | DDWWW |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | WDWLW |
| 16 | Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | DLLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | |
| 20 | Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |