Atletico Paranaense vs Atletico-MG Prediction - 8 October 2026
Our pick:Over 1.5 goals
72%Odds 1.35
Correct score1-1Alternative2-1
Form
- W 2-1
- D 3-3
- L 1-3
- D 3-3
- W 3-2
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- W 3-1
- W 2-0
- L 0-2
Head to head
- 5 Apr 2026 Atletico-MG 2 Atletico Paranaense 1 Serie A
Match analysis
Athletico score 2.4 goals a game, which drives Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.35 for Athletico Paranaense vs Atletico Mineiro on 8 October. The model gives two or more goals a 72 percent chance and lands on 1-1, with a 2-1 home win next.
Athletico have scored and conceded in each of their last five
Two of those games were 3-3 draws, at home to Fluminense and away at Coritiba, and Athletico also won 3-2 at Botafogo. Atletico Mineiro add 1.4 goals a game of their own and won 2-1 when the sides met in April. The model builds expected goals from each side's measured scoring and conceding, and an Athletico defence that has let in goals every time out gives both teams a route over the line.
Atletico Mineiro beat RB Bragantino 1-0 on 3 October
Over 1.5 loses on 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1. Atletico Mineiro can close a game down: that 1-0 was their latest result, they beat Santos 2-0 without conceding, and they failed to score in a 2-0 defeat at Sao Paulo. A 1-0 for either side, the scoreline Atletico Mineiro produced last time out, beats the pick.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Over 1.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
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League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | +32 | 60 | ||
| 2 | 28 | +26 | 57 | ||
| 3 | 28 | +11 | 49 | ||
| 4 | 28 | +8 | 48 | ||
| 5 | 28 | +8 | 46 | ||
| 6 | 28 | +2 | 45 | ||
| 7 | 21 | -3 | 30 | ||
| 7 | 27 | +4 | 40 | ||
| 8 | 27 | +1 | 38 | ||
| 9 | 28 | -6 | 38 | ||
| 10 | 27 | +2 | 36 | ||
| 11 | 27 | +2 | 36 | ||
| 12 | 28 | -4 | 35 | ||
| 13 | 28 | -14 | 33 | ||
| 14 | 28 | -3 | 32 | ||
| 15 | 28 | -9 | 32 | ||
| 16 | 27 | -7 | 31 | ||
| 17 | 28 | -8 | 29 | ||
| 18 | 28 | -6 | 28 | ||
| 19 | 28 | -15 | 23 | ||
| 20 | 27 | -24 | 18 | ||
| 20 | 20 | -22 | 10 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55 | 23 | 32 | 60 | DDWWL |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47 | 21 | 26 | 57 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 49 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 | DDDDL |
| 5 | Bahia | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 46 | DDDWW |
| 6 | Cruzeiro FC | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 45 | |
| 7 | Cruzeiro | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 30 | WLWDW |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 40 | WDWLW |
| 8 | Santos | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 38 | DLWLL |
| 9 | Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 38 | LDLLW |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 36 | DDWWW |
| 11 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 | DLLDL |
| 12 | Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 35 | WDWLD |
| 13 | Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 | LLDWL |
| 14 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 32 | DDWWW |
| 15 | Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 | WDWLW |
| 16 | Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 31 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Gremio | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 28 | DLLLL |
| 19 | Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 23 | LWLWL |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29 | 53 | -24 | 18 | |
| 20 | Chapecoense B | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 41 | -22 | 10 |
