Methodology
How forecasts are graded
The public record is a match by match archive, not an aggregate performance claim. This page explains the rules used to turn a published selection into won, lost or void.
View graded archiveGrading rules
- 01
Published before kickoff
The selection and its model snapshot are stored before the match begins.
- 02
Settled from the final result
A grade is written only after a final score and an accepted full time status are persisted.
- 03
Won, lost or void
Every archived shortlist selection keeps one explicit grade. Void is not counted as a win or loss.
- 04
Snapshot stays frozen
The archived matrix is the pre match model output. The final result is never used to recalculate it.
Settled record by market
Counts, not a claim. These are the selections we published and later graded, not every forecast the model made. A void returns the stake and is left out of the settled total.
| Market | Won | Lost | Settled | No verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/Under Goals | 28,042 | 9,608 | 37,650 | |
| Double Chance | 5,028 | 2,773 | 7,801 | |
| Asian Handicap | 4,477 | 2,240 | 6,717 | 4 |
| Team Total Goals | 3,680 | 1,693 | 5,373 | |
| 1X2 / Match Winner | 2,987 | 1,473 | 4,460 | |
| BTTS | 688 | 376 | 1,064 | |
| Result + Total Goals | 199 | 74 | 273 | |
| Total settled | 45,101 | 18,237 | 63,338 | 4 |
Download the settled record (CSV)Every settled selection of the last 365 days, one row each, with the price and the model probability we published.
What is included
Only shortlisted selections with a complete frozen snapshot, direct answer, signals and final grade can enter the public archive.
What is not claimed
The archive does not guarantee future results. It avoids headline win-rate and ROI claims that can hide sample and selection effects.