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Serie A

Cruzeiro FC vs Sao Paulo

Correct score
1 - 1
Alternative score
2 - 1
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.33
Match page

Match analysis

Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo on 8 October gets Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.33. Every one of Cruzeiro's last five games had at least three goals in it, the 3-1 win at Vitoria on 20 September among them, and the model puts a 74 percent chance on two or more here, with 1-1 as its correct score.

Cruzeiro's last five finished 3-1, 1-2, 3-1, 1-2 and 1-3

Cruzeiro conceded in all five of those games and scored in all five, averaging 1.8 goals a game. The model builds each side's expected goals from what it scores and what it concedes, and Sao Paulo have let in goals in four of their last five, including 2-0 at Palmeiras and a 2-1 home defeat to Santos on 2 October. That puts the weight of the score grid on 1-1 and 2-1, and both clear the line.

Sao Paulo won 1-0 against Internacional and lost 1-0 at Boca Juniors

Over 1.5 loses on 0-0, 1-0 or 0-1. Sao Paulo's attack is the weak side of this match at 0.6 goals a game, and two of their last five ended 1-0, a home win over Internacional on 20 September and a defeat at Boca Juniors. A repeat of that scoreline for either team beats the pick.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.91
Draw3.50
Away4.08
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27
Under 1.53.14
Over 2.51.98
Under 2.51.83
Over 3.53.20
Under 3.51.26
Both teams to score
Yes1.80
No1.91
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.752.07
Away +0.751.63

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Cruzeiro FC vs Sao Paulo: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
20 September 2026Vitoria1 - 3Cruzeiro FC
13 September 2026Santos2 - 1Cruzeiro FC
6 September 2026Cruzeiro FC3 - 1Atletico Paranaense
2 September 2026Atletico-MG2 - 1Cruzeiro FC
30 August 2026Vasco DA Gama3 - 1Cruzeiro FC

Head to Head

Sao Paulo vs Cruzeiro FC: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
2 October 2026Sao Paulo1 - 2Santos
20 September 2026Sao Paulo1 - 0Internacional
16 September 2026Sao Paulo1 - 1Boca Juniors
12 September 2026Palmeiras2 - 0Sao Paulo
9 September 2026Boca Juniors1 - 0Sao Paulo
View Cruzeiro FC vs Sao Paulo Prediction