Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo Prediction - September 9, 2026

CONMEBOL SudamericanaWorldFull time
Boca Juniors
1:0
Sao Paulo
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.86price rising, opened at 1.78
Draw3.00price falling, opened at 3.40
Away5.00

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.69price rising, opened at 1.41
Under 1.52.10price falling, opened at 2.54
Over 2.53.02price rising, opened at 2.44
Under 2.51.35price falling, opened at 1.55
Over 3.55.95price rising, opened at 4.55
Under 3.51.11price falling, opened at 1.13
Both teams to score
Yes2.38price rising, opened at 2.18
No1.54price falling, opened at 1.61
Odd/Even
Odd2.02price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.74price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.752.18price rising, opened at 1.94
Away +0.751.69price falling, opened at 1.72

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Boca Juniors are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Boca Juniors and Sao Paulo average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.3%Projected
  2. 1-112.4%Alternative
  3. 2-09.8%
  4. 2-19.1%
  5. 0-09.0%

Top five combined: 53.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBoca JuniorsxG1.48
AwaySao PauloxG0.93
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.0%
13%
9.8%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
0.2%
1
8.4%
12%
9.1%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
3.9%
5.8%
4.3%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
3
1.2%
1.8%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 46.8%53.2% No
Over 1.5 69.4%30.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.4%56.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.4%77.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Boca Juniors win and over 2.5 goals26.8%
Boca Juniors win and both teams score19.5%
Sao Paulo win and over 2.5 goals11.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Boca Juniors or draw76.2%
Sao Paulo or draw50.1%
Either team wins73.7%
Draw no bet: Boca Juniors67.7%
Draw no bet: Sao Paulo32.3%
Boca Juniors win to nil30.4%
Sao Paulo win to nil13.8%
Team goals
Boca Juniors to score77.2%
Sao Paulo to score60.7%
Boca Juniors over 1.5 goals43.5%
Sao Paulo over 1.5 goals24.0%
Boca Juniors clean sheet39.3%
Sao Paulo clean sheet22.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.04

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo