Castellón vs Leganes: prediction, preview and head to head

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Segunda DivisionMonday 28 September at 18:30 UTC

Leganes vs Castellón

Correct score: 1 - 1
Alternative score: 1 - 2
Featured pick: Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.28

Match analysis

Castellón arrive unbeaten in five, and their 5-0 win over Tenerife on 19 September is the loudest number in Leganes vs Castellón on 28 September. Superior's pick is Over 1.5 goals at 1.28, rated a 78 percent chance by the model, because a visiting attack scoring 2.2 a game needs little help from Leganes to reach two.

Castellón have scored 11 goals in their last five

Superior builds an expected scoring rate for each side from what it scores and concedes, then prices every scoreline on a Poisson grid. Castellón carry the heavier side of that grid: wins at Girona (2-1) and over Albacete (2-0) sit alongside the Tenerife result, and they scored in four of the five. Leganes offer a second route, having beaten Granada 3-2 at home on 20 September, a week after they lost 2-0 at the same Tenerife side Castellón put five past.

Three of Leganes' last five had fewer than two goals

Leganes drew 0-0 at Las Palmas and won 1-0 against Eldense and at Oviedo, and they failed to score in two of their last five. The last time Castellón visited, in September 2025, they won 1-0. A repeat of that 1-0, or a 0-0, loses the bet, and a Leganes side that keeps the game as tight as it did in August is the real threat here.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-opus-5-5

Bookmaker odds

Home2.99

Draw3.32

Away2.39

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.21

Under 1.53.58

Over 2.51.83

Under 2.51.98

Over 3.52.88

Under 3.51.32

Both teams to score

Yes1.61

No2.17

Odd/Even

Odd1.89

Even1.79

Handicap

Home +0.251.71

Away -0.251.95

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H2H Statistics

Total Goals

Castellón 3

0 Leganes

3 total goals · 1.5 per match

BTTS

0%

0 of 2 matches

Over 2.5 Goals

0%

0 of 2 matches

Clean Sheets2 : 0

Most Common Score2 - 0

Castellón best2 - 0

Match History

Head to Head

Castellón vs Leganes: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
16 January 2026	Castellón	2 - 0	Leganes
29 September 2025	Leganes	0 - 1	Castellón

Recent Form

Head to Head

Castellón vs Leganes: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
19 September 2026	Castellón	5 - 0	Tenerife
12 September 2026	Girona	1 - 2	Castellón
6 September 2026	Castellón	2 - 0	Albacete
31 August 2026	Celta de Vigo II	1 - 2	Castellón
23 August 2026	Castellón	0 - 0	Sabadell