Las Palmas vs Leganes Prediction - September 4, 2026

Segunda DivisionSpainFull time
Las Palmas
0:0
Leganes
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.34Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.54price rising, opened at 1.82
Draw3.14price falling, opened at 3.42
Away2.94price falling, opened at 4.74

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.39price rising, opened at 1.28
Under 1.52.98price falling, opened at 3.30
Over 2.52.23price rising, opened at 2.02
Under 2.51.66price falling, opened at 1.80
Over 3.54.02price rising, opened at 3.20
Under 3.51.25price falling, opened at 1.29
Both teams to score
Yes1.90
No1.90price rising, opened at 1.82
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price falling, opened at 2.00
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.81
Handicap
Home +01.80
Away +02.01

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Las Palmas vs Leganes?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

A combined 3.0 goals a game between them is behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick in Las Palmas vs Leganes on 4 September, priced at 1.34 with the model 62 percent confident. Las Palmas have found the net in four of their last five matches.

Las Palmas have scored in four of their last five

Outside of a single 0-1 defeat, Las Palmas have found the net in every one of their last five matches, including a 3-1 and back to back 2-0 and 2-1 wins. Leganes have been quieter in front of goal but have still scored in three of their own last five, enough combined output across both ends to keep this total moving.

Two of the last three meetings produced just one goal

The head-to-head history is the clearest threat here: two of the last three meetings between these sides finished 1-0, a single goal shared between both teams. If this fixture reverts to that tighter pattern instead of either side's season-long scoring rate, a 1-0 or a 0-0 is the only way this loses, and that h2h record is real reason to respect it.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.3%Projected
  2. 2-19.7%Alternative
  3. 1-08.5%
  4. 2-08.0%
  5. 1-26.2%

Top five combined: 42.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeLas PalmasxG1.89
AwayLeganesxG1.22
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.5%
8.5%
8.0%
5.1%
2.4%
0.9%
0.4%
1
5.4%
10%
9.7%
6.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.5%
2
3.3%
6.2%
5.9%
3.7%
1.8%
0.7%
0.3%
3
1.3%
2.5%
2.4%
1.5%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 59.8%40.2% No
Over 1.5 81.7%18.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.1%39.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 37.7%62.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Las Palmas win and over 2.5 goals36.8%
Las Palmas win and both teams score28.0%
Leganes win and over 2.5 goals15.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Las Palmas or draw75.6%
Leganes or draw46.8%
Either team wins77.6%
Draw no bet: Las Palmas68.6%
Draw no bet: Leganes31.4%
Las Palmas win to nil25.2%
Leganes win to nil10.6%
Team goals
Las Palmas to score85.0%
Leganes to score70.3%
Las Palmas over 1.5 goals56.5%
Leganes over 1.5 goals34.3%
Las Palmas clean sheet29.7%
Leganes clean sheet15.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Las Palmas: 4-4-2(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Las Palmas vs Leganes
Head to Head

Head to Head

Las Palmas vs Leganes: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 17, 2026Las Palmas2 - 0Leganes
September 20, 2025Leganes0 - 1Las Palmas
May 18, 2025Las Palmas0 - 1Leganes
League Table

League Table

Segunda DivisionSpain · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1431051+410
2430163+39
3422042+28
4422031+28
5421195+47
6421174+37
7421152+37
8421153+27
9421154+17
1042116607
1142112207
12420264+26
1341215505
1441215505
1541211105
16411224-24
1741037703
18403156-13
194103710-33
20402226-42
21400427-50
224004112-110
Relegation
Segunda Division - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Castellón431051410
2Eibar43016339
3Sabadell42204228
4Leganes42203128
5Girona42119547
6Celta de Vigo II42117437
7Mallorca42115237
8Tenerife42115327
9Granada CF42115417
10Las Palmas42116607
11Sporting Gijon42112207
12Almeria42026426
13Real Sociedad II41215505
14Burgos41215505
15Oviedo41211105
16Valladolid411224-24
17Andorra41037703
18Cadiz403156-13
19Cordoba4103710-33
20Eldense402226-42
21Albacete400427-50
22AD Ceuta FC4004112-110