Varzim vs Paredes Prediction - September 5, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Varzim
0:1
Paredes
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.43Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.48price falling, opened at 2.51
Draw2.74price rising, opened at 2.73
Away3.00price rising, opened at 2.97

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.40price falling, opened at 1.41
Under 1.52.56price rising, opened at 2.52
Over 2.52.31price falling, opened at 2.34
Under 2.51.53price rising, opened at 1.52
Over 3.54.05price falling, opened at 4.15
Under 3.51.16
Both teams to score
Yes1.91price falling, opened at 1.93
No1.77price rising, opened at 1.75
Odd/Even
Odd1.93
Even1.72
Handicap
Home +01.69price falling, opened at 1.71
Away +02.01price rising, opened at 1.98

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Varzim vs Paredes?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Paredes are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Varzim and Paredes average 4.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.3%Projected
  2. 2-19.9%Alternative
  3. 1-09.2%
  4. 2-08.7%
  5. 3-16.3%

Top five combined: 44.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeVarzimxG1.91
AwayParedesxG1.13
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.8%
9.2%
8.7%
5.5%
2.6%
1.0%
0.4%
1
5.4%
10%
9.9%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
0.5%
2
3.1%
5.8%
5.6%
3.5%
1.7%
0.6%
0.3%
3
1.2%
2.2%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.6%42.4% No
Over 1.5 80.6%19.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 58.5%41.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.1%63.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Varzim win and over 2.5 goals37.6%
Varzim win and both teams score28.0%
Paredes win and over 2.5 goals13.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.2%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Varzim or draw77.7%
Paredes or draw44.5%
Either team wins77.8%
Draw no bet: Varzim71.4%
Draw no bet: Paredes28.6%
Varzim win to nil27.5%
Paredes win to nil10.1%
Team goals
Varzim to score85.1%
Paredes to score67.7%
Varzim over 1.5 goals56.8%
Paredes over 1.5 goals31.1%
Varzim clean sheet32.3%
Paredes clean sheet14.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Varzim vs Paredes
Head to Head

Head to Head

Varzim vs Paredes: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
December 13, 2025Paredes0 - 0Varzim
September 12, 2025Varzim2 - 2Paredes
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81