Mafra vs SC Covilha Prediction - September 5, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Mafra
1:0
SC Covilha
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.73price rising, opened at 1.72
Draw3.25price falling, opened at 3.32
Away4.64price rising, opened at 4.59

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.36price falling, opened at 1.37
Under 1.52.84price rising, opened at 2.81
Over 2.52.14
Under 2.51.57
Over 3.54.00price falling, opened at 4.05
Under 3.51.17
Both teams to score
Yes2.01
No1.69
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.84
Even1.79price falling, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.751.94
Away +0.751.70

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Mafra vs SC Covilha?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Mafra are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Mafra and SC Covilha average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.9%Projected
  2. 1-112.0%Alternative
  3. 2-010.7%
  4. 2-19.3%
  5. 0-09.0%

Top five combined: 54.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMafraxG1.54
AwaySC CovilhaxG0.86
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
9.0%
14%
11%
5.5%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
1
7.8%
12%
9.3%
4.8%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
2
3.4%
5.2%
4.0%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.0%
1.5%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 45.4%54.6% No
Over 1.5 69.2%30.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 43.1%56.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 22.2%77.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Mafra win and over 2.5 goals28.6%
Mafra win and both teams score20.1%
SC Covilha win and over 2.5 goals9.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals21.1%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Mafra or draw78.9%
SC Covilha or draw46.8%
Either team wins74.3%
Draw no bet: Mafra71.7%
Draw no bet: SC Covilha28.3%
Mafra win to nil33.2%
SC Covilha win to nil12.4%
Team goals
Mafra to score78.6%
SC Covilha to score57.8%
Mafra over 1.5 goals45.6%
SC Covilha over 1.5 goals21.4%
Mafra clean sheet42.2%
SC Covilha clean sheet21.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Mafra vs SC Covilha
Head to Head

Head to Head

Mafra vs SC Covilha: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
December 13, 2025Mafra2 - 0SC Covilha
September 14, 2025SC Covilha0 - 0Mafra
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81