Guimaraes B vs Trofense Prediction - September 5, 2026

Liga 3PortugalFull time
Guimaraes B
0:0
Trofense
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:2-0

Match Winner: Home2.02Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.76
Draw3.36price rising, opened at 3.28
Away4.24price falling, opened at 4.39

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.30price falling, opened at 1.36
Under 1.52.97price rising, opened at 2.70
Over 2.52.01price falling, opened at 2.15
Under 2.51.70price rising, opened at 1.61
Over 3.53.42price falling, opened at 3.84
Under 3.51.23price rising, opened at 1.18
Both teams to score
Yes1.86price falling, opened at 1.99
No1.81price rising, opened at 1.71
Odd/Even
Odd1.83price falling, opened at 1.84
Even1.81price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.751.95price falling, opened at 1.96
Away +0.751.69price rising, opened at 1.68

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Guimaraes B vs Trofense?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Guimaraes B are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Guimaraes B average 0.8 goals per match against 0.6 for Trofense.
  • Counter signal1 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings ended level.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-013.8%Projected
  2. 2-013.0%Alternative
  3. 1-110.0%
  4. 2-19.5%
  5. 3-08.2%

Top five combined: 54.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeGuimaraes BxG1.89
AwayTrofensexG0.73
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.3%
14%
13%
8.2%
3.9%
1.5%
0.6%
1
5.3%
10%
9.5%
6.0%
2.8%
1.1%
0.5%
2
1.9%
3.6%
3.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.4%
0.2%
3
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
<0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 43.9%56.1% No
Over 1.5 73.6%26.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 48.6%51.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 26.8%73.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Guimaraes B win and over 2.5 goals38.2%
Guimaraes B win and both teams score24.0%
Trofense win and over 2.5 goals6.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals17.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Guimaraes B or draw86.4%
Trofense or draw35.0%
Either team wins78.7%
Draw no bet: Guimaraes B82.7%
Draw no bet: Trofense17.3%
Guimaraes B win to nil41.1%
Trofense win to nil7.8%
Team goals
Guimaraes B to score84.9%
Trofense to score51.6%
Guimaraes B over 1.5 goals56.4%
Trofense over 1.5 goals16.5%
Guimaraes B clean sheet48.4%
Trofense clean sheet15.1%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.70

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Guimaraes B vs Trofense
Head to Head

Head to Head

Guimaraes B vs Trofense: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 9, 2026Trofense1 - 1Guimaraes B
January 4, 2026Trofense0 - 1Guimaraes B
September 28, 2025Guimaraes B1 - 2Trofense
League Table

League Table

Liga 3Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14400122+1012
1531163+310
2530285+39
2431082+610
352217708
3430163+39
4521295+47
4422072+58
552127707
5522165+18
6521278-17
6512245-15
7512245-15
7512246-25
8411235-24
8511327-54
9402225-32
95113310-74
10401349-51
104013311-81
Relegation
Liga 3 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1CF Os Belenenses44001221012
1AD Marco 09531163310
2Varzim53028539
2Atlético CP431082610
3Oliveirense52217708
3Paredes43016339
4Mafra52129547
4Fafe42207258
5Louletano52127707
5Vianense52216518
6Leça521278-17
6Lusitano Évora 1911512245-15
7Guimaraes B512245-15
7SC Covilha512246-25
8Caldas411235-24
8Trofense511327-54
9São João Ver402225-32
9União Santarém5113310-74
10Pacos Ferreira401349-51
10Vitória de Sernache4013311-81