Heracles vs De Graafschap Prediction - September 4, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
Heracles
5:0
De Graafschap
Correct scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.33Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.47price falling, opened at 1.64
Draw4.71price rising, opened at 4.30
Away5.70price rising, opened at 4.11

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.06
Under 1.58.00
Over 2.51.29
Under 2.53.40
Over 3.51.81
Under 3.52.00
Both teams to score
Yes1.41
No2.77
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.87
Handicap
Home -1.251.93
Away +1.251.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Heracles vs De Graafschap?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Heracles are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Heracles and De Graafschap average 4.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-16.1%Our score
  2. 2-26.1%Alternative
  3. 3-16.1%
  4. 3-26.1%
  5. 4-14.5%

Top five combined: 28.9%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHeraclesxG2.99
AwayDe GraafschapxG2.00
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.7%
2.0%
3.0%
3.0%
2.3%
1.4%
1.1%
1
1.4%
4.1%
6.1%
6.1%
4.5%
2.7%
2.3%
2
1.4%
4.1%
6.1%
6.1%
4.5%
2.7%
2.3%
3
0.9%
2.7%
4.0%
4.0%
3.0%
1.8%
1.5%
4
0.5%
1.4%
2.0%
2.0%
1.5%
0.9%
0.8%
5
0.2%
0.5%
0.8%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.3%
6+
<0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 82.1%17.9% No
Over 1.5 95.9%4.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 87.5%12.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 73.4%26.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Heracles win and over 2.5 goals53.3%
Heracles win and both teams score45.5%
De Graafschap win and over 2.5 goals22.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals4.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Heracles or draw75.2%
De Graafschap or draw41.5%
Either team wins83.2%
Draw no bet: Heracles70.2%
Draw no bet: De Graafschap29.8%
Heracles win to nil12.9%
De Graafschap win to nil4.3%
Team goals
Heracles to score95.0%
De Graafschap to score86.4%
Heracles over 1.5 goals80.0%
De Graafschap over 1.5 goals59.4%
Heracles clean sheet13.6%
De Graafschap clean sheet5.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Expected formations

Heracles: 4-3-3(predicted)De Graafschap: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Heracles vs De Graafschap
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
176012410+1418
27511164+1216
375021911+815
47340189+913
57412139+413
674121015-513
794142217+513
8733175+212
974031717012
1093331416-212
1173131113-210
1273041714+39
1372231312+18
1492251322-98
1562131114-37
1672141216-47
1792161521-67
187205812-46
196114718-114
207115921-124
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles760124101418
2Almere City FC75111641216
3VVV Venlo75021911815
4Waalwijk7340189913
5Vitesse7412139413
6MVV Maastricht74121015-513
7Jong AZ94142217513
8Roda733175212
9Emmen74031717012
10Jong PSV93331416-212
11FC Eindhoven73131113-210
12FC Volendam7304171439
13Helmond Sport7223131218
14Jong Ajax92251322-98
15NAC Breda62131114-37
16Den Bosch72141216-47
17Jong Utrecht92161521-67
18FC OSS7205812-46
19De Graafschap6114718-114
20Dordrecht7115921-124