Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax Prediction - September 4, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
Almere City FC
0:1
Jong Ajax
Correct scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:2-2

Goals: Over 2.51.32Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.55price rising, opened at 1.48
Draw5.02price rising, opened at 4.60
Away4.44price falling, opened at 5.27

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.04
Under 1.59.00
Over 2.51.25
Under 2.53.75
Over 3.51.69
Under 3.52.10
Both teams to score
Yes1.32
No3.22
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.87
Handicap
Home -11.85
Away +11.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Almere City FC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Almere City FC and Jong Ajax average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 2.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-17.9%Our score
  2. 3-17.8%
  3. 2-05.8%
  4. 4-15.7%
  5. 3-05.6%

Top five combined: 32.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAlmere City FCxG2.94
AwayJong AjaxxG1.38
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.3%
3.9%
5.8%
5.6%
4.2%
2.4%
2.0%
1
1.8%
5.4%
7.9%
7.8%
5.7%
3.4%
2.7%
2
1.3%
3.7%
5.5%
5.4%
3.9%
2.3%
1.9%
3
0.6%
1.7%
2.5%
2.5%
1.8%
1.1%
0.9%
4
0.2%
0.6%
0.9%
0.8%
0.6%
0.4%
0.3%
5
<0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 70.8%29.2% No
Over 1.5 92.9%7.1% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 80.5%19.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 62.6%37.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Almere City FC win and over 2.5 goals59.7%
Almere City FC win and both teams score45.5%
Jong Ajax win and over 2.5 goals12.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals6.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Almere City FC or draw84.8%
Jong Ajax or draw30.6%
Either team wins84.6%
Draw no bet: Almere City FC82.0%
Draw no bet: Jong Ajax18.0%
Almere City FC win to nil23.9%
Jong Ajax win to nil3.9%
Team goals
Almere City FC to score94.7%
Jong Ajax to score74.8%
Almere City FC over 1.5 goals79.2%
Jong Ajax over 1.5 goals40.0%
Almere City FC clean sheet25.2%
Jong Ajax clean sheet5.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Expected formations

Jong Ajax: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax
Head to Head

Head to Head

Almere City FC vs Jong Ajax: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
March 20, 2026Jong Ajax0 - 2Almere City FC
December 5, 2025Almere City FC3 - 2Jong Ajax
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
176012410+1418
27511164+1216
375021911+815
47340189+913
57412139+413
674121015-513
794142217+513
8733175+212
974031717012
1093331416-212
1173131113-210
1273041714+39
1372231312+18
1492251322-98
1562131114-37
1672141216-47
1792161521-67
187205812-46
196114718-114
207115921-124
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles760124101418
2Almere City FC75111641216
3VVV Venlo75021911815
4Waalwijk7340189913
5Vitesse7412139413
6MVV Maastricht74121015-513
7Jong AZ94142217513
8Roda733175212
9Emmen74031717012
10Jong PSV93331416-212
11FC Eindhoven73131113-210
12FC Volendam7304171439
13Helmond Sport7223131218
14Jong Ajax92251322-98
15NAC Breda62131114-37
16Den Bosch72141216-47
17Jong Utrecht92161521-67
18FC OSS7205812-46
19De Graafschap6114718-114
20Dordrecht7115921-124