Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo Prediction - September 4, 2026

Eerste DivisieNetherlandsFull time
Helmond Sport
4:2
VVV Venlo
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:0-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home3.08price rising, opened at 2.75
Draw3.48price rising, opened at 3.40
Away2.18price falling, opened at 2.36

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15
Under 1.55.00price rising, opened at 4.40
Over 2.51.60
Under 2.52.25price rising, opened at 2.20
Over 3.52.40
Under 3.51.53price rising, opened at 1.50
Both teams to score
Yes1.50price falling, opened at 1.52
No2.50price rising, opened at 2.40
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price falling, opened at 1.99
Even1.82
Handicap
Home +0.251.93
Away -0.251.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 0-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: VVV Venlo are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.0%Our score
  2. 0-19.3%Alternative
  3. 1-28.8%
  4. 1-08.2%
  5. 2-17.8%

Top five combined: 46.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeHelmond SportxG1.29
AwayVVV VenloxG1.46
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.4%
8.2%
5.3%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
1
9.3%
12%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
6.8%
8.8%
5.7%
2.4%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
3.3%
4.3%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.7%44.3% No
Over 1.5 76.1%23.9% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 51.9%48.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 29.8%70.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Helmond Sport win and over 2.5 goals19.8%
Helmond Sport win and both teams score16.6%
VVV Venlo win and over 2.5 goals25.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Helmond Sport or draw58.8%
VVV Venlo or draw66.7%
Either team wins74.6%
Draw no bet: Helmond Sport44.7%
Draw no bet: VVV Venlo55.3%
Helmond Sport win to nil16.8%
VVV Venlo win to nil21.2%
Team goals
Helmond Sport to score72.5%
VVV Venlo to score76.9%
Helmond Sport over 1.5 goals37.0%
VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals43.0%
Helmond Sport clean sheet23.1%
VVV Venlo clean sheet27.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Expected formations

VVV Venlo: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo
Head to Head

Head to Head

Helmond Sport vs VVV Venlo: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 17, 2026Helmond Sport2 - 0VVV Venlo
September 13, 2025VVV Venlo2 - 1Helmond Sport
April 13, 2025VVV Venlo4 - 1Helmond Sport
League Table

League Table

Eerste DivisieNetherlands · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
176012410+1418
27511164+1216
375021911+815
47340189+913
57412139+413
674121015-513
794142217+513
8733175+212
974031717012
1093331416-212
1173131113-210
1273041714+39
1372231312+18
1492251322-98
1562131114-37
1672141216-47
1792161521-67
187205812-46
196114718-114
207115921-124
Eerste Divisie - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Heracles760124101418
2Almere City FC75111641216
3VVV Venlo75021911815
4Waalwijk7340189913
5Vitesse7412139413
6MVV Maastricht74121015-513
7Jong AZ94142217513
8Roda733175212
9Emmen74031717012
10Jong PSV93331416-212
11FC Eindhoven73131113-210
12FC Volendam7304171439
13Helmond Sport7223131218
14Jong Ajax92251322-98
15NAC Breda62131114-37
16Den Bosch72141216-47
17Jong Utrecht92161521-67
18FC OSS7205812-46
19De Graafschap6114718-114
20Dordrecht7115921-124