V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction

Correct scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.25Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.02

Draw3.43

Away2.32

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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Total goals

Over 1.51.27

Under 1.53.72

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Over 3.53.17

Under 3.51.35

Both teams to score

Yes1.70

No2.15

Odd/Even

Odd1.96

Even1.84

Handicap

Home +0.251.78

Away -0.252.04

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: V-varen Nagasaki are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 16, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

V-varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka average 2.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-111.7%Our score
2-19.2%Alternative
1-08.8%
1-27.7%
0-17.4%

Top five combined: 44.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeV-varen NagasakixG1.54

AwayCerezo OsakaxG1.29

5.9%

8.8%

6.7%

3.7%

1.6%

0.5%

0.2%

7.4%

12%

9.2%

4.6%

1.8%

0.6%

0.2%

4.6%

7.7%

6.0%

3.1%

1.1%

0.3%

0.1%

2.3%

3.1%

2.6%

1.4%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.7%

1.1%

0.8%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.5%42.5% No

Over 1.5 77.9%22.1% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 54.9%45.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 32.1%67.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

V-varen Nagasaki win and over 2.5 goals27.6%

V-varen Nagasaki win and both teams score21.7%

Cerezo Osaka win and over 2.5 goals19.8%

Draw and under 2.5 goals17.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

V-varen Nagasaki or draw68.2%

Cerezo Osaka or draw57.0%

Either team wins74.8%

Draw no bet: V-varen Nagasaki57.5%

Draw no bet: Cerezo Osaka42.5%

V-varen Nagasaki win to nil21.4%

Cerezo Osaka win to nil15.2%

Team goals

V-varen Nagasaki to score78.8%

Cerezo Osaka to score72.7%

V-varen Nagasaki over 1.5 goals46.1%

Cerezo Osaka over 1.5 goals37.2%

V-varen Nagasaki clean sheet27.3%

Cerezo Osaka clean sheet21.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Won

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Confirmed formations

V-varen Nagasaki: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)Cerezo Osaka: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)

Head to Head

V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 9, 2026	Cerezo Osaka	3 - 2	V-varen Nagasaki
February 28, 2026	V-varen Nagasaki	1 - 0	Cerezo Osaka

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	7	5	2	0	19	6	+13	17
2	Vissel Kobe	7	5	1	1	11	5	+6	16
3	Kashiwa Reysol	7	5	0	2	13	10	+3	15
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	7	4	2	1	19	6	+13	14
5	FC Tokyo	7	4	2	1	13	8	+5	14
6	Fagiano Okayama	7	4	1	2	10	8	+2	13
7	Kawasaki Frontale	7	3	3	1	13	9	+4	12
8	Kashima	7	4	0	3	14	13	+1	12
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	7	3	2	2	11	9	+2	11
10	Cerezo Osaka	7	3	1	3	6	11	-5	10
11	Mito Hollyhock	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
12	Urawa	7	3	0	4	13	17	-4	9
13	Shimizu S-pulse	7	2	1	4	4	7	-3	7
14	V-varen Nagasaki	7	2	1	4	9	14	-5	7
15	Gamba Osaka	7	1	3	3	8	13	-5	6
16	Nagoya Grampus	7	2	0	5	7	13	-6	6
17	Kyoto Sanga	7	1	2	4	9	14	-5	5
18	Avispa Fukuoka	7	1	1	5	9	11	-2	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	7	0	4	3	3	9	-6	4
20	JEF United Chiba	7	1	1	5	6	16	-10	4

J1 League - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Machida Zelvia	7	5	2	0	19	6	13	17
2	Vissel Kobe	7	5	1	1	11	5	6	16
3	Kashiwa Reysol	7	5	0	2	13	10	3	15
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	7	4	2	1	19	6	13	14
5	FC Tokyo	7	4	2	1	13	8	5	14
6	Fagiano Okayama	7	4	1	2	10	8	2	13
7	Kawasaki Frontale	7	3	3	1	13	9	4	12
8	Kashima	7	4	0	3	14	13	1	12
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	7	3	2	2	11	9	2	11
10	Cerezo Osaka	7	3	1	3	6	11	-5	10
11	Mito Hollyhock	7	2	3	2	11	9	2	9
12	Urawa	7	3	0	4	13	17	-4	9
13	Shimizu S-pulse	7	2	1	4	4	7	-3	7
14	V-varen Nagasaki	7	2	1	4	9	14	-5	7
15	Gamba Osaka	7	1	3	3	8	13	-5	6
16	Nagoya Grampus	7	2	0	5	7	13	-6	6
17	Kyoto Sanga	7	1	2	4	9	14	-5	5
18	Avispa Fukuoka	7	1	1	5	9	11	-2	4
19	Tokyo Verdy	7	0	4	3	3	9	-6	4
20	JEF United Chiba	7	1	1	5	6	16	-10	4

V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction - September 19, 2026

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What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Correlated combos

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Confirmed formations

Head to Head

League Table