Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba Prediction - September 19, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Shimizu S-pulse
2:1
JEF United Chiba
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.35Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.90price rising, opened at 1.88
Draw3.24price falling, opened at 3.62
Away4.60price rising, opened at 4.06

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.39price rising, opened at 1.25
Under 1.52.98price falling, opened at 3.28
Over 2.52.32price rising, opened at 1.90
Under 2.51.61price falling, opened at 1.90
Over 3.54.34price rising, opened at 3.04
Under 3.51.22price falling, opened at 1.29
Both teams to score
Yes2.04price rising, opened at 1.75
No1.78price falling, opened at 1.97
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.752.17price rising, opened at 2.02
Away +0.751.70price rising, opened at 1.66

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Shimizu S-pulse and JEF United Chiba average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.5%Our score
  2. 1-011.2%Alternative
  3. 2-19.4%
  4. 0-18.2%
  5. 2-08.1%

Top five combined: 49.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeShimizu S-pulsexG1.48
AwayJEF United ChibaxG1.07
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.0%
11%
8.1%
3.8%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.2%
13%
9.4%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
2
4.6%
6.9%
5.1%
2.6%
0.8%
0.2%
<0.1%
3
1.8%
2.5%
1.9%
0.9%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.6%48.4% No
Over 1.5 72.6%27.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 47.4%52.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 25.4%74.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Shimizu S-pulse win and over 2.5 goals25.7%
Shimizu S-pulse win and both teams score19.9%
JEF United Chiba win and over 2.5 goals15.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Shimizu S-pulse or draw71.5%
JEF United Chiba or draw55.0%
Either team wins73.4%
Draw no bet: Shimizu S-pulse61.2%
Draw no bet: JEF United Chiba38.8%
Shimizu S-pulse win to nil25.1%
JEF United Chiba win to nil15.3%
Team goals
Shimizu S-pulse to score76.7%
JEF United Chiba to score66.9%
Shimizu S-pulse over 1.5 goals42.7%
JEF United Chiba over 1.5 goals30.4%
Shimizu S-pulse clean sheet33.1%
JEF United Chiba clean sheet23.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.75

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Shimizu S-pulse: 4-1-2-3(confirmed lineup)JEF United Chiba: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17520196+1317
27511115+616
375021310+315
47421196+1314
57421138+514
67412108+213
77331139+412
874031413+112
97322119+211
107313611-510
117232119+29
1273041317-49
13721447-37
147214914-57
157133813-56
167205713-66
177124914-55
187115911-24
19704339-64
207115616-104
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Machida Zelvia75201961317
2Vissel Kobe7511115616
3Kashiwa Reysol75021310315
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima74211961314
5FC Tokyo7421138514
6Fagiano Okayama7412108213
7Kawasaki Frontale7331139412
8Kashima74031413112
9Yokohama F. Marinos7322119211
10Cerezo Osaka7313611-510
11Mito Hollyhock723211929
12Urawa73041317-49
13Shimizu S-pulse721447-37
14V-varen Nagasaki7214914-57
15Gamba Osaka7133813-56
16Nagoya Grampus7205713-66
17Kyoto Sanga7124914-55
18Avispa Fukuoka7115911-24
19Tokyo Verdy704339-64
20JEF United Chiba7115616-104