Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima Prediction - September 19, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Avispa Fukuoka
0:1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Correct scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.40Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.51price falling, opened at 4.74
Draw3.61price falling, opened at 3.92
Away1.80price rising, opened at 1.70

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price rising, opened at 1.21
Under 1.53.72price rising, opened at 3.58
Over 2.51.98price rising, opened at 1.79
Under 2.51.82price falling, opened at 2.02
Over 3.53.34price rising, opened at 2.74
Under 3.51.32price falling, opened at 1.35
Both teams to score
Yes1.82price rising, opened at 1.73
No1.98price falling, opened at 2.00
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +0.751.78price falling, opened at 1.93
Away -0.752.04price rising, opened at 1.88

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Avispa Fukuoka and Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 3.2 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-111.1%Our score
  2. 1-110.5%Alternative
  3. 0-210.5%
  4. 1-210.1%
  5. 0-36.5%

Top five combined: 48.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAvispa FukuokaxG0.95
AwaySanfrecce HiroshimaxG1.90
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.9%
5.5%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
<0.1%
<0.1%
1
11%
10%
5.1%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
2
10%
10%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
3
6.5%
6.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
3.1%
2.8%
1.3%
0.4%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
1.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 51.6%48.4% No
Over 1.5 77.5%22.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 53.8%46.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 31.0%69.0% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Avispa Fukuoka win and over 2.5 goals10.9%
Avispa Fukuoka win and both teams score9.5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win and over 2.5 goals37.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals16.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Avispa Fukuoka or draw41.2%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima or draw80.9%
Either team wins77.9%
Draw no bet: Avispa Fukuoka24.6%
Draw no bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima75.4%
Avispa Fukuoka win to nil9.6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima win to nil32.8%
Team goals
Avispa Fukuoka to score61.3%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to score84.4%
Avispa Fukuoka over 1.5 goals24.9%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima over 1.5 goals55.6%
Avispa Fukuoka clean sheet15.6%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima clean sheet38.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Won

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Avispa Fukuoka: 3-4-2-1(predicted)Sanfrecce Hiroshima: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Head to Head

Head to Head

Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 5, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima0 - 1Avispa Fukuoka
September 27, 2025Avispa Fukuoka1 - 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima
June 4, 2025Avispa Fukuoka1 - 0Sanfrecce Hiroshima
May 3, 2025Sanfrecce Hiroshima2 - 1Avispa Fukuoka
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17520196+1317
27511115+616
375021310+315
47421196+1314
57421138+514
67412108+213
77331139+412
874031413+112
97322119+211
107313611-510
117232119+29
1273041317-49
13721447-37
147214914-57
157133813-56
167205713-66
177124914-55
187115911-24
19704339-64
207115616-104
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Machida Zelvia75201961317
2Vissel Kobe7511115616
3Kashiwa Reysol75021310315
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima74211961314
5FC Tokyo7421138514
6Fagiano Okayama7412108213
7Kawasaki Frontale7331139412
8Kashima74031413112
9Yokohama F. Marinos7322119211
10Cerezo Osaka7313611-510
11Mito Hollyhock723211929
12Urawa73041317-49
13Shimizu S-pulse721447-37
14V-varen Nagasaki7214914-57
15Gamba Osaka7133813-56
16Nagoya Grampus7205713-66
17Kyoto Sanga7124914-55
18Avispa Fukuoka7115911-24
19Tokyo Verdy704339-64
20JEF United Chiba7115616-104