Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga Prediction - September 19, 2026

J1 LeagueJapanFull time
Fagiano Okayama
1:2
Kyoto Sanga
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.30Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.82price falling, opened at 1.88
Draw3.52price falling, opened at 3.58
Away4.54price rising, opened at 4.12

Market move since Sep 18. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.32price rising, opened at 1.24
Under 1.53.36price rising, opened at 3.34
Over 2.52.02price rising, opened at 1.90
Under 2.51.79price falling, opened at 1.90
Over 3.53.58price rising, opened at 2.97
Under 3.51.29price falling, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.90price rising, opened at 1.75
No1.90price falling, opened at 1.97
Odd/Even
Odd1.96price rising, opened at 1.86
Even1.84price rising, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.752.00price falling, opened at 2.02
Away +0.751.80price rising, opened at 1.66

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Fagiano Okayama are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-8Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Fagiano Okayama and Kyoto Sanga average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-111.9%Our score
  2. 1-09.8%
  3. 2-19.6%Alternative
  4. 2-07.7%
  5. 0-17.5%

Top five combined: 46.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFagiano OkayamaxG1.69
AwayKyoto SangaxG1.17
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
6.5%
9.8%
7.7%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
1
7.5%
12%
9.6%
4.9%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
2
4.2%
6.9%
5.6%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
3
1.8%
2.6%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 55.2%44.8% No
Over 1.5 76.2%23.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 52.5%47.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 30.1%69.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Fagiano Okayama win and over 2.5 goals29.1%
Fagiano Okayama win and both teams score22.4%
Kyoto Sanga win and over 2.5 goals16.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals18.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Fagiano Okayama or draw71.9%
Kyoto Sanga or draw53.4%
Either team wins74.7%
Draw no bet: Fagiano Okayama62.4%
Draw no bet: Kyoto Sanga37.6%
Fagiano Okayama win to nil24.2%
Kyoto Sanga win to nil14.1%
Team goals
Fagiano Okayama to score79.3%
Kyoto Sanga to score69.3%
Fagiano Okayama over 1.5 goals47.2%
Kyoto Sanga over 1.5 goals32.8%
Fagiano Okayama clean sheet30.7%
Kyoto Sanga clean sheet20.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

Won

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Fagiano Okayama: 3-4-2-1(confirmed lineup)Kyoto Sanga: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga
Head to Head

Head to Head

Fagiano Okayama vs Kyoto Sanga: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 11, 2026Kyoto Sanga5 - 1Fagiano Okayama
March 8, 2026Fagiano Okayama1 - 0Kyoto Sanga
August 30, 2025Kyoto Sanga5 - 0Fagiano Okayama
League Table

League Table

J1 LeagueJapan · 2027/2028
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
17520196+1317
27511115+616
375021310+315
47421196+1314
57421138+514
67412108+213
77331139+412
874031413+112
97322119+211
107313611-510
117232119+29
1273041317-49
13721447-37
147214914-57
157133813-56
167205713-66
177124914-55
187115911-24
19704339-64
207115616-104
J1 League - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Machida Zelvia75201961317
2Vissel Kobe7511115616
3Kashiwa Reysol75021310315
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima74211961314
5FC Tokyo7421138514
6Fagiano Okayama7412108213
7Kawasaki Frontale7331139412
8Kashima74031413112
9Yokohama F. Marinos7322119211
10Cerezo Osaka7313611-510
11Mito Hollyhock723211929
12Urawa73041317-49
13Shimizu S-pulse721447-37
14V-varen Nagasaki7214914-57
15Gamba Osaka7133813-56
16Nagoya Grampus7205713-66
17Kyoto Sanga7124914-55
18Avispa Fukuoka7115911-24
19Tokyo Verdy704339-64
20JEF United Chiba7115616-104