Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

73%Odds 1.40Won

Correct score1-1Alternative0-1

4/5 Under 3.5 goals Motor Lublin · last 5 games

Form

Motor Lublin

L 0-2
D 1-1
W 1-0
L 1-3
L 1-2

Legia Warszawa

D 1-1
D 1-1
W 5-0
D 1-1
W 3-1

Head to head

23 May 2026 Legia Warszawa 4 Motor Lublin 0 Ekstraklasa
1 Dec 2025 Motor Lublin 1 Legia Warszawa 1 Ekstraklasa

Bookmaker odds

Home4.08

Draw3.68

Away1.71

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.16

Under 1.54.15

Over 2.51.64

Under 2.52.10

Over 3.52.56

Under 3.51.40

Both teams to score

Yes1.60

No2.15

Odd/Even

Odd1.83

Even1.81

Handicap

Home +0.751.74

Away -0.751.89

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

Legia Warszawa have not lost in three recent meetings with Motor Lublin, a run that includes two draws and a 4-0 win, and that head-to-head history sits behind Superior's projection for their Polish Cup tie on 1 September. The model projects a tight 1-1, with 0-1 the alternate score.

Legia have not lost any of the last three meetings with Motor Lublin

Two of those three games finished level, at 1-1 and 3-3, and the third ended in a 4-0 Legia win. That pattern of control without total domination lines up with Superior's tight 1-1 projection: Legia's away scoring rate of 2.2 goals a game is the stronger number on the board, but recent meetings between these two have mostly stayed close. Motor Lublin's own home form, a 1-0 win and a 1-2 loss in their last two on this ground, shows they can hold a lead when they get one.

Legia have already won one of the last three meetings by four goals

The most recent head-to-head result was not tight at all: a 4-0 Legia win shows exactly how far this fixture can get away from Motor Lublin when the visitors click, and a 5-0 win two matches back in their own league form says the finishing is there. LOSES IF: this match repeats anything like that scoreline, or finishes 2-2 or higher, since either breaks the tight 1-1/0-1 range Superior has projected here.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 3.5Won1.40
Goals: Under 2.5Lost2.05

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After full time

Top five correct scores

1-112.4%Our score
0-110.0%Alternative
1-09.0%
1-28.6%
2-17.8%

Top five combined: 47.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMotor LublinxG1.25

AwayLegia WarszawaxG1.38

7.2%

9.0%

5.6%

2.3%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

10.0%

12%

7.8%

3.2%

1.0%

0.3%

<0.1%

6.9%

8.6%

5.4%

2.2%

0.7%

0.2%

<0.1%

3.2%

4.0%

2.5%

1.0%

0.3%

<0.1%

1.1%

1.4%

0.9%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

0.2%

<0.1%

0.1%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 53.4%46.6% No

Over 1.5 73.8%26.2% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 48.9%51.1% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 27.0%73.0% Under 3.5

Combos

Legia Warszawa win and over 2.5 goals23.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.7%
Motor Lublin win and over 2.5 goals19.2%
Motor Lublin win and both teams score15.9%

Outcome markets
	Motor Lublin	Legia Warszawa
Win or draw	60.0%	66.2%
Draw no bet	45.8%	54.2%
Win to nil	17.9%	21.5%
Either team wins	73.8%
Team goals
To score	71.3%	74.9%
Over 1.5 goals	35.4%	40.2%
Clean sheet	25.1%	28.7%