Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki Prediction - September 1, 2026

CupPolandFull time
Podhale Nowy Targ
3:1
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.47price falling, opened at 2.75
Draw3.38price falling, opened at 3.48
Away2.71price rising, opened at 2.22

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price rising, opened at 1.19
Under 1.54.21price rising, opened at 3.74
Over 2.51.66price falling, opened at 1.71
Under 2.52.21price rising, opened at 2.00
Over 3.52.52price falling, opened at 2.70
Under 3.51.49price rising, opened at 1.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.56price falling, opened at 1.58
No2.33price rising, opened at 2.19
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.81
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +01.84
Away +01.96

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Podhale Nowy Targ are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-3Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Podhale Nowy Targ and Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki average 3.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.3%Projected
  2. 1-28.4%Alternative
  3. 2-18.3%
  4. 2-26.7%
  5. 0-16.4%

Top five combined: 40.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomePodhale Nowy TargxG1.60
AwayPogoń Grod. MazowieckixG1.63
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
4.0%
6.3%
5.1%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
1
6.4%
10%
8.3%
4.4%
1.8%
0.6%
0.2%
2
5.3%
8.4%
6.7%
3.6%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
3
2.9%
4.6%
3.7%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
4
1.2%
1.9%
1.5%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.4%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 64.2%35.8% No
Over 1.5 83.3%16.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 62.6%37.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 40.4%59.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Podhale Nowy Targ win and over 2.5 goals26.3%
Podhale Nowy Targ win and both teams score22.1%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win and over 2.5 goals27.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals14.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Podhale Nowy Targ or draw61.0%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki or draw62.3%
Either team wins76.7%
Draw no bet: Podhale Nowy Targ49.1%
Draw no bet: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki50.9%
Podhale Nowy Targ win to nil15.6%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki win to nil16.2%
Team goals
Podhale Nowy Targ to score79.8%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki to score80.4%
Podhale Nowy Targ over 1.5 goals47.5%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki over 1.5 goals48.5%
Podhale Nowy Targ clean sheet19.6%
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki clean sheet20.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

Lost

2 selections at 1.97

See the ticket

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Podhale Nowy Targ vs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki