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Greece vs Netherlands Prediction - 1 October 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Greece
vs
Netherlands

Correct score0-1Alternative2-2

Bookmaker odds

Home3.28price falling, opened at 3.70
Draw3.54price falling, opened at 3.64
Away2.14price rising, opened at 1.97
All oddsPremium

What is the prediction for Greece vs Netherlands?

Our correct score is 0-1, then 2-2. Netherlands are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match analysis

Greece hold the only rating edge in Greece vs Netherlands on 1 October, an attack rated 6.3 against a Dutch defence at 6.1, but Superior's correct score is a 0-1 Netherlands win. The alternative is 2-2. The scoring rates decide it: the Dutch average 2.6 goals a game and Greece 1.0.

The Netherlands scored in each of their last five

Superior builds expected goals for each side from measured scoring and conceding before pricing the scores on a Poisson grid, and the Dutch scoring rate outweighs the small rating gap. They won 2-1 in Serbia on 27 September and drew 1-1 with Germany, and their summer run included 5-1 over Sweden and 3-1 over Tunisia. Greece were held to one goal or none in three of their last five.

Greece won 1-0 in Germany on 27 September

The 0-1 needs a Greek blank, and Greece scored in both games this month, 2-1 in Serbia and that 1-0 in Germany, winning each. The Dutch have conceded in each of their last five, so a Greek goal is a live route, and it pushes the result toward the 2-2 alternative.

More tips for this game

  • Correct score: 2-211.00
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Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Greece vs Netherlands