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UEFA Nations League

Greece vs Netherlands

Correct score
0 - 1
Alternative score
2 - 2
Match page

Match analysis

Greece hold the only rating edge in Greece vs Netherlands on 1 October, an attack rated 6.3 against a Dutch defence at 6.1, but Superior's correct score is a 0-1 Netherlands win. The alternative is 2-2. The scoring rates decide it: the Dutch average 2.6 goals a game and Greece 1.0.

The Netherlands scored in each of their last five

Superior builds expected goals for each side from measured scoring and conceding before pricing the scores on a Poisson grid, and the Dutch scoring rate outweighs the small rating gap. They won 2-1 in Serbia on 27 September and drew 1-1 with Germany, and their summer run included 5-1 over Sweden and 3-1 over Tunisia. Greece were held to one goal or none in three of their last five.

Greece won 1-0 in Germany on 27 September

The 0-1 needs a Greek blank, and Greece scored in both games this month, 2-1 in Serbia and that 1-0 in Germany, winning each. The Dutch have conceded in each of their last five, so a Greek goal is a live route, and it pushes the result toward the 2-2 alternative.

Bookmaker odds

Home3.28price falling, opened at 3.70
Draw3.54price falling, opened at 3.64
Away2.14price rising, opened at 1.97
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.21
Under 1.53.84
Over 2.51.79price rising, opened at 1.78
Under 2.52.02price falling, opened at 2.04
Over 3.52.84
Under 3.51.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.62price falling, opened at 1.64
No2.19price rising, opened at 2.15
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +0.251.90price falling, opened at 2.11
Away -0.251.82price rising, opened at 1.67

Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Greece vs Netherlands: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
27 September 2026Germany0 - 1Greece
24 September 2026Serbia1 - 2Greece
7 June 2026Greece0 - 1Italy
4 June 2026Sweden2 - 2Greece
31 March 2026Hungary0 - 0Greece

Head to Head

Netherlands vs Greece: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
27 September 2026Serbia1 - 2Netherlands
24 September 2026Netherlands1 - 1Germany
25 June 2026Tunisia1 - 3Netherlands
20 June 2026Netherlands5 - 1Sweden
14 June 2026Netherlands2 - 2Japan
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