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Bundesliga 1

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg

Correct score
1 - 1
Alternative score
3 - 2
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.2
Match page

Match analysis

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg on 10 October carries Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick at 1.20. Elversberg have scored in four of their last five and Union conceded 17 times in the four games before their 1-0 win in Rijeka, so the model gives two or more goals an 84 percent chance.

Union's attack, rated 6.7, meets an Elversberg defence rated 6.4

Superior turns each side's scoring and conceding into an expected goals figure, then spreads those two figures across every plausible scoreline. Both stay healthy here. Union's attack outrates the Elversberg defence, and Elversberg's attack, rated 6.3, faces a back line that shipped seven at Bayern and four at Leverkusen. The correct score forecast is 1-1, with 3-2 as the alternative.

Elversberg won 4-3 at Gladbach and 3-2 against Leverkusen

Elversberg score 2.2 goals a game against Union's 1.0, and four of their last five went past one goal, including the 4-3 at Borussia Mönchengladbach on 5 September. Union's 3-3 with Eintracht Frankfurt on 29 August shows their games can open up at home too.

Elversberg drew 0-0 at Schalke on 20 September

That goalless draw is the shape that beats this pick, and Union's 1-0 in Rijeka on 26 September is the other. Union scored once or not at all in four of their last five, so if their attack stalls again and Elversberg take a single goal, a 0-1 finish loses the bet.

Bookmaker odds

Home2.21
Draw3.80
Away2.96
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14
Under 1.54.75
Over 2.51.57
Under 2.52.40
Over 3.52.35
Under 3.51.51
Both teams to score
Yes1.48
No2.50
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home -0.251.92
Away +0.251.88

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

SV Elversberg vs Union Berlin: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
20 September 2026FC Schalke 040 - 0SV Elversberg
13 September 2026SV Elversberg1 - 2Bayern München
5 September 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach3 - 4SV Elversberg
29 August 2026SV Elversberg3 - 2Bayer Leverkusen
22 August 2026MSV Duisburg1 - 3SV Elversberg

Head to Head

Union Berlin vs SV Elversberg: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
26 September 2026HNK Rijeka0 - 1Union Berlin
18 September 2026Bayern München7 - 0Union Berlin
11 September 2026Union Berlin1 - 3FC Schalke 04
5 September 2026Bayer Leverkusen4 - 0Union Berlin
29 August 2026Union Berlin3 - 3Eintracht Frankfurt