Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

3-1

Alternative:2-1

Match Winner: Home1.48Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.43

Draw5.00

Away6.40

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.07

Under 1.55.90

Over 2.51.36

Under 2.52.83

Over 3.52.01

Under 3.51.80

Both teams to score

Yes1.53

No2.37

Odd/Even

Odd1.85

Even1.85

Handicap

Home -1.251.90

Away +1.251.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?

The model's leading scoreline is 3 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Bayer Leverkusen are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 2, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

Bayer Leverkusen won 3 of their last 5 matches; Union Berlin won 2 of 5.
Bayer Leverkusen average 2.6 goals per match against 2.4 for Union Berlin.
Bayer Leverkusen attack rating 6.7 meets a Union Berlin defence rating of 6.7.
Counter signal1 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings ended level.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

3-17.2%Projected
2-17.1%Alternative
3-25.8%
2-25.7%
4-15.5%

Top five combined: 31.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBayer LeverkusenxG3.07

AwayUnion BerlinxG1.61

0.9%

2.9%

4.4%

4.5%

3.4%

2.1%

1.8%

1.5%

4.6%

7.1%

7.2%

5.5%

3.4%

2.9%

1.2%

3.7%

5.7%

5.8%

4.4%

2.7%

2.4%

0.6%

2.0%

3.0%

3.1%

2.4%

1.5%

1.3%

0.3%

0.8%

1.2%

1.0%

0.6%

0.5%

0.1%

0.3%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

0.0%

0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 76.2%23.8% No

Over 1.5 94.7%5.3% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 84.5%15.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 68.6%31.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Bayer Leverkusen win and over 2.5 goals59.6%

Bayer Leverkusen win and both teams score47.8%

Union Berlin win and over 2.5 goals14.9%

Draw and under 2.5 goals5.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Bayer Leverkusen or draw82.4%

Union Berlin or draw33.1%

Either team wins84.5%

Draw no bet: Bayer Leverkusen79.2%

Draw no bet: Union Berlin20.8%

Bayer Leverkusen win to nil19.1%

Union Berlin win to nil3.7%

Team goals

Bayer Leverkusen to score95.3%

Union Berlin to score80.0%

Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals81.1%

Union Berlin over 1.5 goals47.7%

Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet20.0%

Union Berlin clean sheet4.7%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Bayer Leverkusen: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Union Berlin: 4-1-2-1-2(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin

Head to Head

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
February 21, 2026	Union Berlin	1 - 0	Bayer Leverkusen
October 4, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	2 - 0	Union Berlin
April 12, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	0 - 0	Union Berlin

League Table

BundesligaGermany · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	5	1	+4	6
2	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	2	+3	6
3	SV Elversberg	2	2	0	0	7	5	+2	6
4	Bayern München	2	1	1	0	5	1	+4	4
5	Bayer Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	6	3	+3	3
6	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	4	3	+1	3
8	VfB Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	5	6	-1	3
9	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3
10	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	4	6	-2	3
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1
12	FSV Mainz 05	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
13	SC Paderborn 07	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1
14	FC Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1
15	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	3	7	-4	1
16	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	4	6	-2	0
17	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	3	7	-4	0

Bundesliga - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	SC Freiburg	2	2	0	0	5	1	4	6
2	Borussia Dortmund	2	2	0	0	5	2	3	6
3	SV Elversberg	2	2	0	0	7	5	2	6
4	Bayern München	2	1	1	0	5	1	4	4
5	Bayer Leverkusen	2	1	0	1	6	3	3	3
6	FC Augsburg	1	1	0	0	3	0	3	3
7	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	4	3	1	3
8	VfB Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	5	6	-1	3
9	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	4	5	-1	3
10	FC Koln	2	1	0	1	4	6	-2	3
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	3	3	0	1
12	FSV Mainz 05	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
13	SC Paderborn 07	2	0	1	1	0	1	-1	1
14	FC Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	0	3	-3	1
15	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	3	7	-4	1
16	1899 Hoffenheim	2	0	0	2	4	6	-2	0
17	Hamburger SV	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	2	0	0	2	3	7	-4	0

Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin Prediction - September 5, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Union Berlin?

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

More Bundesliga Predictions

Confirmed formations

Head to Head

League Table

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