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Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

Ethiopia vs Senegal

Correct score
0 - 2
Alternative score
1 - 2
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.27
Match page

Match analysis

Ethiopia come into this on shorter rest than Senegal after losing 1-0 in Sudan on 25 September, and they have scored four goals in their last five games. Superior expects Ethiopia vs Senegal on 29 September to end 0-2 to Senegal, with 1-2 the alternative.

Senegal beat Iraq 5-0 and drew 1-1 in Mozambique

Superior's score grid is built from each side's expected scoring rate, and Senegal's carries weight from a 6.4 attack rating and 1.8 goals a game across a run against France, Norway, Saudi Arabia, Iraq and Mozambique. Ethiopia average 0.8 and have not scored more than once in any of their last five: 0-1, 1-1, 1-0, 1-3 and 1-0. Senegal's defence rates 6.3 against that thin output, and the forecast keeps Ethiopia at nil.

Ethiopia scored in all three of their recent home games

A 0-2 needs an Ethiopian blank, and at home they have found the net each time lately: 1-1 and 1-0 against Malawi in June and 1-0 against Guinea-Bissau last October. One Ethiopian goal turns the forecast into the 1-2 alternative. Senegal also drew four days before this game and were held 0-0 by Saudi Arabia in June, so a quieter Senegal night is possible too.

Bookmaker odds

Home8.05price rising, opened at 6.49
Draw4.55price rising, opened at 4.20
Away1.36price falling, opened at 1.45
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price rising, opened at 1.23
Under 1.53.28price falling, opened at 3.42
Over 2.51.86price rising, opened at 1.81
Under 2.51.87price falling, opened at 1.92
Over 3.53.04price rising, opened at 2.88
Under 3.51.29price falling, opened at 1.32
Both teams to score
Yes2.15price rising, opened at 1.93
No1.63price falling, opened at 1.78
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.85
Handicap
Home +1.251.81
Away -1.251.80

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

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Head to Head

Ethiopia vs Senegal: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
25 September 2026Sudan1 - 0Ethiopia
9 June 2026Ethiopia1 - 1Malawi
6 June 2026Ethiopia1 - 0Malawi
12 October 2025Burkina Faso3 - 1Ethiopia

Head to Head

Senegal vs Ethiopia: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
25 September 2026Mozambique1 - 1Senegal
26 June 2026Senegal5 - 0Iraq
23 June 2026Norway3 - 2Senegal
16 June 2026France3 - 1Senegal
9 June 2026Saudi Arabia0 - 0Senegal
View Ethiopia vs Senegal Prediction