Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal Prediction - September 8, 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueWorldFull time
Borussia Dortmund
3:2
Villarreal
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.65Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home1.78price rising, opened at 1.77
Draw4.06
Away4.06price falling, opened at 4.10

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.09price falling, opened at 1.11
Under 1.55.30price rising, opened at 4.85
Over 2.51.44price falling, opened at 1.49
Under 2.52.61price rising, opened at 2.40
Over 3.52.17price falling, opened at 2.31
Under 3.51.69price rising, opened at 1.61
Both teams to score
Yes1.45price falling, opened at 1.50
No2.59price rising, opened at 2.45
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home -0.751.96price rising, opened at 1.92
Away +0.751.81

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Borussia Dortmund are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.4%Projected
  2. 1-19.3%Alternative
  3. 2-06.7%
  4. 1-06.7%
  5. 2-26.5%

Top five combined: 38.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeBorussia DortmundxG2.02
AwayVillarrealxG1.39
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.3%
6.7%
6.7%
4.5%
2.3%
0.9%
0.4%
1
4.6%
9.3%
9.4%
6.3%
3.2%
1.3%
0.6%
2
3.2%
6.5%
6.5%
4.4%
2.2%
0.9%
0.4%
3
1.5%
3.0%
3.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.4%
0.2%
4
0.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.1%34.9% No
Over 1.5 85.4%14.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 66.2%33.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 44.3%55.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Borussia Dortmund win and over 2.5 goals38.7%
Borussia Dortmund win and both teams score30.5%
Villarreal win and over 2.5 goals18.6%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.6%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Borussia Dortmund or draw73.6%
Villarreal or draw47.9%
Either team wins78.5%
Draw no bet: Borussia Dortmund66.4%
Draw no bet: Villarreal33.6%
Borussia Dortmund win to nil21.6%
Villarreal win to nil10.0%
Team goals
Borussia Dortmund to score86.7%
Villarreal to score75.1%
Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals59.9%
Villarreal over 1.5 goals40.4%
Borussia Dortmund clean sheet24.9%
Villarreal clean sheet13.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Team news

Expected formations

Borussia Dortmund: 3-4-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal
Head to Head

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund
4 - 0
Villarreal
November 25, 2025
Borussia Dortmund vs Villarreal: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
November 25, 2025Borussia Dortmund4 - 0Villarreal