FC Porto vs Manchester City Prediction - September 8, 2026

UEFA Champions LeagueWorldFull time
FC Porto
0:2
Manchester City
Projected scoreOur pick
0-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.50Won

Bookmaker odds

Home4.64price rising, opened at 4.60
Draw4.02price rising, opened at 3.96
Away1.70price falling, opened at 1.71

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price rising, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.40price rising, opened at 4.30
Over 2.51.67price falling, opened at 1.68
Under 2.52.20price rising, opened at 2.19
Over 3.52.61price rising, opened at 2.58
Under 3.51.44price rising, opened at 1.43
Both teams to score
Yes1.63
No2.17
Odd/Even
Odd1.87
Even1.83
Handicap
Home +0.751.91price rising, opened at 1.90
Away -0.751.89price falling, opened at 1.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for FC Porto vs Manchester City?

The model's leading scoreline is 0 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Both teams are in similar form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • FC Porto and Manchester City average 3.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.
  • FC Porto defence rating 6.8 meets a Manchester City attack rating of 6.6.
  • Manchester City defence rating 6.5 meets a FC Porto attack rating of 6.4.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 0-112.4%Projected
  2. 1-112.3%Alternative
  3. 0-29.4%
  4. 1-29.3%
  5. 0-08.2%

Top five combined: 51.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeFC PortoxG0.99
AwayManchester CityxG1.51
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.2%
8.1%
4.0%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
1
12%
12%
6.1%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
2
9.4%
9.3%
4.6%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
4.7%
4.7%
2.3%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
4
1.8%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.5%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 48.9%51.1% No
Over 1.5 71.2%28.8% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 45.5%54.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.2%75.8% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

FC Porto win and over 2.5 goals12.6%
FC Porto win and both teams score10.9%
Manchester City win and over 2.5 goals27.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
FC Porto or draw50.7%
Manchester City or draw75.2%
Either team wins74.1%
Draw no bet: FC Porto33.4%
Draw no bet: Manchester City66.6%
FC Porto win to nil13.9%
Manchester City win to nil29.0%
Team goals
FC Porto to score62.8%
Manchester City to score77.9%
FC Porto over 1.5 goals26.0%
Manchester City over 1.5 goals44.5%
FC Porto clean sheet22.1%
Manchester City clean sheet37.2%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: FC Porto vs Manchester City