União de Leiria vs Portimonense Prediction - September 6, 2026

Liga Portugal 2PortugalFull time
União de Leiria
1:0
Portimonense
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.37Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.20price rising, opened at 1.88
Draw3.28price falling, opened at 3.52
Away3.19price falling, opened at 3.88

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.25price rising, opened at 1.21
Under 1.53.28price falling, opened at 3.58
Over 2.51.92price rising, opened at 1.78
Under 2.51.84price falling, opened at 1.98
Over 3.53.14price rising, opened at 2.78
Under 3.51.27price falling, opened at 1.34
Both teams to score
Yes1.71price rising, opened at 1.66
No2.02price falling, opened at 2.09
Odd/Even
Odd1.89price rising, opened at 1.88
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.86
Away +0.251.86

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for União de Leiria vs Portimonense?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: União de Leiria are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • União de Leiria and Portimonense average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.3%Projected
  2. 1-18.9%Alternative
  3. 2-06.6%
  4. 2-26.5%
  5. 3-16.5%

Top five combined: 37.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeUnião de LeiriaxG2.10
AwayPortimonensexG1.40
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.0%
6.3%
6.6%
4.6%
2.4%
1.0%
0.5%
1
4.2%
8.9%
9.3%
6.5%
3.4%
1.4%
0.7%
2
3.0%
6.2%
6.5%
4.6%
2.4%
1.0%
0.5%
3
1.4%
2.9%
3.1%
2.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.5%
1.0%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
5
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 66.2%33.8% No
Over 1.5 86.4%13.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 67.9%32.1% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 46.4%53.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

União de Leiria win and over 2.5 goals40.5%
União de Leiria win and both teams score31.9%
Portimonense win and over 2.5 goals18.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals11.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
União de Leiria or draw74.5%
Portimonense or draw46.5%
Either team wins79.0%
Draw no bet: União de Leiria67.7%
Draw no bet: Portimonense32.3%
União de Leiria win to nil21.5%
Portimonense win to nil9.3%
Team goals
União de Leiria to score87.7%
Portimonense to score75.4%
União de Leiria over 1.5 goals62.0%
Portimonense over 1.5 goals41.0%
União de Leiria clean sheet24.6%
Portimonense clean sheet12.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Team news

Expected formations

Portimonense: 3-4-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: União de Leiria vs Portimonense
Head to Head

Head to Head

União de Leiria vs Portimonense: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 28, 2026União de Leiria1 - 0Portimonense
October 4, 2025Portimonense1 - 1União de Leiria
League Table

League Table

Liga Portugal 2Portugal · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16411135+813
2541093+613
3540174+312
4631275+210
56312107+310
6531152+310
7631286+210
86303810-29
9630376+19
10522175+28
11621346-27
1261326606
13613256-16
14613279-26
15612358-35
16511359-44
175104211-93
18601518-71
Liga Portugal 2 - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Penafiel6411135813
2Lusitânia Lourosa541093613
3Sporting CP B540174312
4Benfica B631275210
5União de Leiria6312107310
6Vizela531152310
7Leixoes631286210
8Academica6303810-29
9Tondela63037619
10Farense52217528
11Portimonense621346-27
12AVS61326606
13Felgueiras 1932613256-16
14Torreense613279-26
15Amarante612358-35
16Chaves511359-44
17FC Porto B5104211-93
18Feirense601518-71