Tigres UANL vs Necaxa Prediction - September 6, 2026

Liga MXMexicoFull time
Tigres UANL
1:1
Necaxa
Projected scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.53Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.65price rising, opened at 1.57
Draw3.68price falling, opened at 4.15
Away5.70price rising, opened at 5.13

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.24price rising, opened at 1.15
Under 1.54.00price falling, opened at 4.20
Over 2.51.82price rising, opened at 1.61
Under 2.51.98price falling, opened at 2.25
Over 3.52.74price rising, opened at 2.41
Under 3.51.45
Both teams to score
Yes1.77price rising, opened at 1.66
No2.02price falling, opened at 2.09
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -0.751.78
Away +0.752.04

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Tigres UANL vs Necaxa?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Tigres UANL are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Tigres UANL and Necaxa average 1.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-010.3%Projected
  2. 1-010.3%
  3. 2-19.9%
  4. 1-19.9%Alternative
  5. 3-06.9%

Top five combined: 47.3%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTigres UANLxG2.01
AwayNecaxaxG0.96
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.1%
10%
10%
6.9%
3.5%
1.4%
0.7%
1
4.9%
9.9%
9.9%
6.7%
3.4%
1.4%
0.6%
2
2.4%
4.8%
4.8%
3.2%
1.6%
0.7%
0.3%
3
0.8%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.5%46.5% No
Over 1.5 79.7%20.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.1%42.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 34.7%65.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Tigres UANL win and over 2.5 goals41.1%
Tigres UANL win and both teams score28.6%
Necaxa win and over 2.5 goals10.0%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Tigres UANL or draw82.7%
Necaxa or draw38.2%
Either team wins79.1%
Draw no bet: Tigres UANL78.1%
Draw no bet: Necaxa21.9%
Tigres UANL win to nil33.1%
Necaxa win to nil8.3%
Team goals
Tigres UANL to score86.6%
Necaxa to score61.8%
Tigres UANL over 1.5 goals59.7%
Necaxa over 1.5 goals25.0%
Tigres UANL clean sheet38.2%
Necaxa clean sheet13.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

3 selections at 1.95

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Tigres UANL vs Necaxa
Head to Head

Head to Head

Tigres UANL vs Necaxa: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 18, 2026Necaxa1 - 1Tigres UANL
October 18, 2025Tigres UANL5 - 3Necaxa
May 12, 2025Tigres UANL2 - 2Necaxa
May 6, 2025Necaxa0 - 0Tigres UANL
League Table

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510122+1016
27421126+614
36411124+813
46411107+313
57412109+113
674031211+112
77322119+211
8631297+210
9631299010
10731399010
1163031310+39
127223108+28
137223912-38
14714279-27
157133911-26
167133813-56
177016412-81
187007321-180
Liga MX - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Club America65101221016WDW
2Guadalajara Chivas7421126614DWL
3Toluca6411124813WLW
4Club Tijuana6411107313DWW
5Atlas7412109113LWW
6Cruz Azul74031211112LWW
7U.N.A.M. - Pumas7322119211WWL
8Club Queretaro631297210WWL
9Puebla631299010DLW
10Leon731399010WLL
11Monterrey6303131039WLW
12CF Pachuca722310828LLW
13Necaxa7223912-38LWW
14Atlante FC714279-27WDL
15Tigres UANL7133911-26LDL
16Atletico San Luis7133813-56DDL
17Santos Laguna7016412-81LLL
18FC Juarez7007321-180LLL