Atlas vs Atlante FC Prediction - September 6, 2026

Liga MXMexicoFull time
Atlas
1:1
Atlante FC
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.34Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.98price rising, opened at 1.94
Draw2.91price falling, opened at 3.01
Away3.67price rising, opened at 3.55

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.27price rising, opened at 1.24
Under 1.53.15price falling, opened at 3.35
Over 2.51.89price rising, opened at 1.75
Under 2.51.77price falling, opened at 1.87
Over 3.53.15price rising, opened at 2.83
Under 3.51.27price falling, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes1.67price rising, opened at 1.60
No2.02price falling, opened at 2.08
First to score
Home1.67price rising, opened at 1.64
No goal11.00price rising, opened at 7.45
Away2.28price rising, opened at 2.22
Handicap
Home -0.251.70
Away +0.251.98
Corners
Over 9.51.80
Under 9.51.80

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Atlas vs Atlante FC?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Atlas are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Atlante's attack and defence both rate a shade above Atlas' own numbers, yet three draws in their last five say more about their recent output than those ratings do, the tension behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals price of 1.34 for their Liga MX meeting on 6 September, a 72 percent probability.

Atlante have drawn three of their last five

Atlante's ratings, 6.9 for both attack and defence, are the strongest single numbers in this matchup, yet their recent results have been cagey rather than expansive: three draws in five, two of them 1-1 and 0-0. Atlas have been more erratic, a 1-3 home defeat sitting alongside three wins, which keeps the door open for goals from the home side even against a technically stronger visitor.

Atlas' 1-3 defeat is the scoreline that beats this

LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. Atlas shipped three goals in a single match earlier this run, and Atlante found three of their own in a separate away win, so both sides have shown they can be part of a high-scoring afternoon individually. If either version turns up rather than the more controlled draws Atlante have produced lately, the total climbs past this line.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.2%Projected
  2. 1-010.3%Alternative
  3. 2-19.0%
  4. 0-18.3%
  5. 2-07.6%

Top five combined: 47.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAtlasxG1.47
AwayAtlante FCxG1.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
7.0%
10%
7.6%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
8.3%
12%
9.0%
4.4%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
2
5.0%
7.3%
5.3%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
3
2.0%
2.9%
2.1%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 53.5%46.5% No
Over 1.5 74.4%25.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 49.6%50.4% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 27.7%72.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Atlas win and over 2.5 goals25.7%
Atlas win and both teams score20.2%
Atlante FC win and over 2.5 goals17.4%
Draw and under 2.5 goals19.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Atlas or draw69.4%
Atlante FC or draw56.4%
Either team wins74.2%
Draw no bet: Atlas58.7%
Draw no bet: Atlante FC41.3%
Atlas win to nil23.5%
Atlante FC win to nil16.0%
Team goals
Atlas to score77.0%
Atlante FC to score69.5%
Atlas over 1.5 goals43.2%
Atlante FC over 1.5 goals33.3%
Atlas clean sheet30.5%
Atlante FC clean sheet23.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

3 selections at 1.95

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Atlas vs Atlante FC
League Table

League Table

Liga MXMexico · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
16510122+1016
27421126+614
36411124+813
46411107+313
57412109+113
674031211+112
77322119+211
8631297+210
9631299010
10731399010
1163031310+39
127223108+28
137223912-38
14714279-27
157133911-26
167133813-56
177016412-81
187007321-180
Liga MX - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Club America65101221016WDW
2Guadalajara Chivas7421126614DWL
3Toluca6411124813WLW
4Club Tijuana6411107313DWW
5Atlas7412109113LWW
6Cruz Azul74031211112LWW
7U.N.A.M. - Pumas7322119211WWL
8Club Queretaro631297210WWL
9Puebla631299010DLW
10Leon731399010WLL
11Monterrey6303131039WLW
12CF Pachuca722310828LLW
13Necaxa7223912-38LWW
14Atlante FC714279-27WDL
15Tigres UANL7133911-26LDL
16Atletico San Luis7133813-56DDL
17Santos Laguna7016412-81LLL
18FC Juarez7007321-180LLL