Panathinaikos vs PAOK Prediction - 6 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
74%Odds 1.30Lost
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
Form
- W 1-0
- W 2-0
- D 1-1
- D 2-2
- D 1-1
- D 0-0
- W 2-1
- L 2-3
- W 4-0
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 17 May 2026 Panathinaikos 2 PAOK 2 Super League 1
- 5 Apr 2026 PAOK 0 Panathinaikos 0 Super League 1
- 11 Feb 2026 PAOK 2 Panathinaikos 0 Cup
Match analysis
Four of the last five Athens derbies between Panathinaikos and PAOK have stayed under three combined goals, a pattern behind Superior's Under 3.5 goals price of 1.3 for their Greek Super League 1 meeting on 6 September, rated a 74 percent probability.
Four of the last five derbies stayed under three goals
Only one of the last five head to head meetings, a 2-2 draw in May, went above two total goals, with the other four settling at 0-0, 2-0, 0-1 and 2-0. Both sides are also carrying an identical schedule load into this one, three days' rest and four matches in the last fortnight each, which tends to keep a heated fixture more cautious than expansive.
That 2-2 draw shows the ceiling is there
LOSES IF: four or more goals combined. The most recent meeting between these two did clear this line, a 2-2 draw that shows the derby can open up when both attacks are sharp. PAOK have scored in four of their last five games, so if that recent shootout repeats rather than the tighter pattern of the four meetings before it, this total is beaten.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-112.6%Our score
- 1-010.3%Alternative
- 0-19.5%
- 2-18.4%
- 1-27.8%
Top five combined: 48.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Panathinaikos win and over 2.5 goals22.1%
- Draw and under 2.5 goals20.4%
- PAOK win and over 2.5 goals18.9%
- Panathinaikos win and both teams score17.7%
| Panathinaikos | PAOK | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 65.8% | 60.7% |
| Draw no bet | 53.5% | 46.5% |
| Win to nil | 21.6% | 18.6% |
| Either team wins | 73.4% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 73.7% | 70.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 38.5% | 34.7% |
| Clean sheet | 29.3% | 26.3% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.64Won
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +9 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | +13 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | +5 | 12 | |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | 10 | |
| 6 | 6 | -4 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 0 | 9 | |
| 8 | 6 | -1 | 9 | |
| 9 | 6 | -1 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | -4 | 5 | |
| 12 | 6 | -4 | 2 | |
| 13 | 6 | -11 | 1 | |
| 14 | 6 | -6 | -1 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 | |
| 2 | AEK Athens FC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 14 | |
| 3 | Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| 4 | PAOK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 12 | |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 | |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 10 | |
| 7 | Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 9 | |
| 8 | Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | |
| 9 | Kifisia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 | |
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 | |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 5 | |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2 | |
| 13 | Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 11 | -11 | 1 | |
| 14 | Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | -6 | -1 |