Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic Prediction - September 6, 2026

USL ChampionshipUSAFull time
Orange County SC
1:1
Sacramento Republic
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.28Won

Bookmaker odds

Home3.49price falling, opened at 3.51
Draw3.38price falling, opened at 3.45
Away2.05price rising, opened at 1.91

Market move since Sep 3. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.31price rising, opened at 1.22
Under 1.53.25price falling, opened at 3.50
Over 2.52.11price rising, opened at 1.81
Under 2.51.73price falling, opened at 1.89
Over 3.53.42price rising, opened at 2.97
Under 3.51.29price falling, opened at 1.30
Both teams to score
Yes1.87price rising, opened at 1.68
No1.87price falling, opened at 2.04
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.82price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home +0.252.06price rising, opened at 2.02
Away -0.251.76price rising, opened at 1.64

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Sacramento Republic are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Orange County SC and Sacramento Republic average 2.0 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-110.7%Projected
  2. 1-29.7%Alternative
  3. 0-19.1%
  4. 0-28.3%
  5. 2-16.3%

Top five combined: 44.1%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeOrange County SCxG1.17
AwaySacramento RepublicxG1.82
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0%
5.9%
3.4%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
1
9.1%
11%
6.3%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
2
8.3%
9.7%
5.7%
2.2%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
3
5.1%
5.9%
3.5%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.3%
2.7%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.3%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.8%42.2% No
Over 1.5 80.0%20.0% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 57.5%42.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 35.1%64.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Orange County SC win and over 2.5 goals15.1%
Orange County SC win and both teams score13.3%
Sacramento Republic win and over 2.5 goals35.1%
Draw and under 2.5 goals15.7%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Orange County SC or draw47.4%
Sacramento Republic or draw75.6%
Either team wins77.0%
Draw no bet: Orange County SC31.7%
Draw no bet: Sacramento Republic68.3%
Orange County SC win to nil11.2%
Sacramento Republic win to nil26.0%
Team goals
Orange County SC to score69.0%
Sacramento Republic to score83.8%
Orange County SC over 1.5 goals32.7%
Sacramento Republic over 1.5 goals54.4%
Orange County SC clean sheet16.2%
Sacramento Republic clean sheet31.0%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.73

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic
Head to Head

Head to Head

Orange County SC vs Sacramento Republic: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 3, 2026Sacramento Republic3 - 2Orange County SC
October 2, 2025Sacramento Republic2 - 1Orange County SC
June 29, 2025Orange County SC1 - 0Sacramento Republic
League Table

League Table

USL ChampionshipUSA · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12312473929+1040
11811523319+1438
2189363724+1330
22011452920+937
3229853331+235
3178452517+828
4188373231+127
42110562619+735
5188282020026
5229852826+235
62310493836+234
6195772431-722
7218852819+932
7166462519+622
8166371920-121
8229493126+531
9174851216-420
9228592832-429
10173952129-818
10227873130+129
11173861821-317
11236982831-327
122345142441-1717
121734101732-1513
131915132351-288
USL Championship - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1El Paso Locomotive23124739291040LWLWL
1Tampa Bay Rowdies18115233191438WWDLW
2Charleston Battery1893637241330WLDLW
2New Mexico United2011452920937WWWWD
3Orange County SC229853331235WWDDW
3Detroit City178452517828DLWWW
4Louisville City188373231127LWLWD
4FC Tulsa2110562619735WDWLW
5Pittsburgh Riverhounds188282020026WLLWL
5San Antonio229852826235WWLDW
6Colorado Springs2310493836234LWWWL
6Miami FC195772431-722DLLWD
7Sacramento Republic218852819932WWDWL
7Rhode Island166462519622LWWLD
8Indy Eleven166371920-121LLLLW
8Lexington229493126531WDWLW
9Hartford Athletic174851216-420LDLDL
9Las Vegas Lights228592832-429DWWLL
10Loudoun United173952129-818WWDDL
10Phoenix Rising227873130129DDWLL
11Birmingham Legion173861821-317WLDLD
11Oakland Roots236982831-327LLLLW
12Monterey Bay2345142441-1717LLLDW
12Brooklyn1734101732-1513LLDWL
13Sporting JAX1915132351-288LLDWD