Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-0

Alternative:1-1

Goals: Under 3.51.23Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.08

Draw3.13

Away3.71

Market move since Sep 6. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.38

Under 1.52.73

Over 2.52.23

Under 2.51.61

Over 3.54.00

Under 3.51.19

Both teams to score

Yes1.93

No1.76

Odd/Even

Odd1.88

Even1.78

Handicap

Home -0.251.75

Away +0.252.00

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Mushuc Runa SC are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 3, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

Mushuc Runa SC and Leones del Norte average 1.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-013.1%Projected
1-112.2%Alternative
2-010.0%
2-19.3%
0-08.6%

Top five combined: 53.2%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeMushuc Runa SCxG1.52

AwayLeones del NortexG0.93

8.6%

13%

10.0%

5.1%

1.9%

0.6%

0.2%

8.0%

12%

9.3%

4.7%

1.8%

0.5%

0.2%

3.7%

5.7%

4.3%

2.2%

0.8%

0.3%

0.1%

1.2%

1.8%

1.3%

0.7%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.3%

0.4%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 47.2%52.8% No

Over 1.5 70.2%29.8% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 44.3%55.7% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 23.1%76.9% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Mushuc Runa SC win and over 2.5 goals27.9%

Mushuc Runa SC win and both teams score20.2%

Leones del Norte win and over 2.5 goals11.3%

Draw and under 2.5 goals20.8%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Mushuc Runa SC or draw77.0%

Leones del Norte or draw48.9%

Either team wins74.1%

Draw no bet: Mushuc Runa SC68.9%

Draw no bet: Leones del Norte31.1%

Mushuc Runa SC win to nil30.9%

Leones del Norte win to nil13.2%

Team goals

Mushuc Runa SC to score78.1%

Leones del Norte to score60.5%

Mushuc Runa SC over 1.5 goals44.9%

Leones del Norte over 1.5 goals23.8%

Mushuc Runa SC clean sheet39.5%

Leones del Norte clean sheet21.9%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Mushuc Runa SC: 4-4-2(confirmed lineup)Leones del Norte: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte

Head to Head

Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 17, 2026	Leones del Norte	3 - 1	Mushuc Runa SC

League Table

Liga ProEcuador · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	29	23	2	4	70	31	+39	71
2	Aucas	30	14	8	8	33	28	+5	50
3	Universidad Catolica	29	13	9	7	49	26	+23	48
4	Macara	29	14	6	9	40	33	+7	48
5	LDU de Quito	29	13	6	10	30	23	+7	45
6	Barcelona SC	29	11	10	8	31	24	+7	43
8	Leones del Norte	29	10	9	10	31	31	0	39
9	Mushuc Runa SC	29	9	11	9	34	35	-1	38
9	Libertad	23	8	6	9	24	26	-2	30
10	Guayaquil City FC	29	9	9	11	30	35	-5	36
11	Emelec	29	10	9	10	25	33	-8	36
12	Deportivo Cuenca	29	10	5	14	24	36	-12	35
13	Orense SC	29	9	6	14	35	45	-10	33
14	Tecnico Universitario	29	9	2	18	27	42	-15	29
15	Delfin SC	29	7	6	16	18	30	-12	27
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	17	42	-25	21

Relegation

Liga Pro - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Independiente del Valle	29	23	2	4	70	31	39	71	WWWWW
2	Aucas	30	14	8	8	33	28	5	50	WLLWL
3	Universidad Catolica	29	13	9	7	49	26	23	48	WDWWW
4	Macara	29	14	6	9	40	33	7	48	WWWLW
5	LDU de Quito	29	13	6	10	30	23	7	45	WDLLD
6	Barcelona SC	29	11	10	8	31	24	7	43	DLLWD
8	Leones del Norte	29	10	9	10	31	31	0	39	DWDWD
9	Mushuc Runa SC	29	9	11	9	34	35	-1	38	WLDWL
9	Libertad	23	8	6	9	24	26	-2	30	WWWLW
10	Guayaquil City FC	29	9	9	11	30	35	-5	36	LDDWD
11	Emelec	29	10	9	10	25	33	-8	36	LLDLW
12	Deportivo Cuenca	29	10	5	14	24	36	-12	35	LWLLD
13	Orense SC	29	9	6	14	35	45	-10	33	LLWLL
14	Tecnico Universitario	29	9	2	18	27	42	-15	29	LWLLL
15	Delfin SC	29	7	6	16	18	30	-12	27	LLWWL
16	Manta FC	30	5	6	19	17	42	-25	21	LLDLL

Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte Prediction - September 6, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa SC vs Leones del Norte?

Match highlights

Why this prediction

Markets to consider

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Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

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Correlated combos

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Confirmed formations

Head to Head

League Table