Independiente del Valle vs Macara Prediction - September 6, 2026

Liga ProEcuadorFull time
Independiente del Valle
3:1
Macara
Projected scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:3-1

Match Winner: Home1.34Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.36price falling, opened at 1.51
Draw4.74price rising, opened at 4.15
Away7.95price rising, opened at 6.07

Market move since Sep 5. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.20price falling, opened at 1.22
Under 1.53.93price rising, opened at 3.60
Over 2.51.70price falling, opened at 1.78
Under 2.52.08price rising, opened at 1.97
Over 3.52.66price falling, opened at 2.89
Under 3.51.40price rising, opened at 1.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.93price rising, opened at 1.84
No1.76price falling, opened at 1.85
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -1.251.84
Away +1.251.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle vs Macara?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 3-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Macara are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Independiente del Valle won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings.
  • Independiente del Valle average 1.8 goals per match against 1.6 for Macara.
  • Counter signalMacara won 3 of their last 5 matches; Independiente del Valle won 2 of 5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-18.8%Projected
  2. 3-18.0%Alternative
  3. 2-07.4%
  4. 3-06.8%
  5. 1-16.4%

Top five combined: 37.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeIndependiente del VallexG2.75
AwayMacaraxG1.19
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.0%
5.4%
7.4%
6.8%
4.6%
2.5%
1.8%
1
2.3%
6.4%
8.8%
8.0%
5.5%
3.0%
2.2%
2
1.4%
3.8%
5.2%
4.8%
3.3%
1.8%
1.3%
3
0.5%
1.5%
2.1%
1.9%
1.3%
0.7%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.6%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.2%
5
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 65.0%35.0% No
Over 1.5 90.3%9.7% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 75.2%24.8% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 55.3%44.7% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Independiente del Valle win and over 2.5 goals57.3%
Independiente del Valle win and both teams score41.5%
Macara win and over 2.5 goals10.3%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Independiente del Valle or draw86.0%
Macara or draw29.9%
Either team wins84.1%
Draw no bet: Independiente del Valle83.3%
Draw no bet: Macara16.7%
Independiente del Valle win to nil28.6%
Macara win to nil4.5%
Team goals
Independiente del Valle to score93.6%
Macara to score69.5%
Independiente del Valle over 1.5 goals75.9%
Macara over 1.5 goals33.2%
Independiente del Valle clean sheet30.5%
Macara clean sheet6.4%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.39

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Independiente del Valle vs Macara
Head to Head

Head to Head

Independiente del Valle vs Macara: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 16, 2026Macara0 - 3Independiente del Valle
July 12, 2025Macara1 - 2Independiente del Valle
March 16, 2025Independiente del Valle1 - 1Macara
League Table

League Table

Liga ProEcuador · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12923247031+3971
23014883328+550
32913974926+2348
42914694033+748
529136103023+745
629111083124+743
829109103131039
92991193435-138
9238692426-230
102999113035-536
1129109102533-836
1229105142436-1235
132996143545-1033
142992182742-1529
152976161830-1227
163056191742-2521
Relegation
Liga Pro - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Independiente del Valle29232470313971WWWWW
2Aucas3014883328550WLLWL
3Universidad Catolica29139749262348WDWWW
4Macara2914694033748WWWLW
5LDU de Quito29136103023745WDLLD
6Barcelona SC29111083124743DLLWD
8Leones del Norte29109103131039DWDWD
9Mushuc Runa SC2991193435-138WLDWL
9Libertad238692426-230WWWLW
10Guayaquil City FC2999113035-536LDDWD
11Emelec29109102533-836LLDLW
12Deportivo Cuenca29105142436-1235LWLLD
13Orense SC2996143545-1033LLWLL
14Tecnico Universitario2992182742-1529LWLLL
15Delfin SC2976161830-1227LLWWL
16Manta FC3056191742-2521LLDLL