Stoke City vs Charlton Prediction - September 5, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Charlton?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Charlton are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Stoke City and Charlton are combining for 2.8 goals a game this season, and the two meetings between these sides have both stayed under this total too, which is why Superior backs Under 3.5 goals at 1.25 for their Championship date on 5 September, priced at a 68 percent probability.
Both previous meetings between these sides finished under this total
Stoke City and Charlton have met twice recently, 0-1 and 3-0, both comfortably under 3.5, even though Charlton's away form has been sharper lately at 1.8 goals a game against Stoke's own 1.0. Charlton's defence also carries a 6.4 rating, which has helped keep some of their away performances tight despite the attacking output.
Charlton's 1-5 away win shows this can break wide open
The pick loses if this produces four goals or more, and Charlton's 1-5 win away from home this season, along with a 3-1 win in their last five, both cleared that line comfortably. Stoke have also lost 1-4 at home this year. If either side's more expansive recent form shows up instead of the tight head-to-head history, this goes well past 3.5.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksToday's acca
2 selections at 2.07
See the ticket
Team news
Confirmed formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 11, 2026 | Charlton | 1 - 0 | Stoke City |
| November 25, 2025 | Stoke City | 3 - 0 | Charlton |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +4 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 9 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 10 | 4 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | +2 | 5 | ||
| 12 | 4 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 4 | -1 | 5 | ||
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 15 | 4 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 18 | 4 | +5 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 20 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 21 | 4 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 22 | 4 | -5 | 3 | ||
| 23 | 4 | -5 | 2 | ||
| 24 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| 3 | Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Wolves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 | |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 6 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 7 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 8 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 10 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 12 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | |
| 13 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | |
| 16 | Derby | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | Lincoln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 | Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |
| 19 | Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 20 | Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | |
| 22 | Stoke City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | |
| 23 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 | |
| 24 | Preston | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 |
