Burnley vs Bristol City Prediction - September 5, 2026
Alternative:2-1
Goals: Over 1.51.30
What is the prediction for Burnley vs Bristol City?
The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Bristol City are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Burnley and Bristol City are combining for 2.4 goals a game this season, and four of Burnley's last five have finished with two goals or more, which is why Superior backs Over 1.5 goals at 1.3 for their Championship date on 5 September, priced at a 64 percent probability.
Four of Burnley's last five matches have produced two goals or more
Burnley's recent results read 1-4, 1-3, 2-2, 1-1 and 0-1, only the last one falling short of this line, and Bristol City's away form has been similarly open with three wins by two goals or more. Between them the two sides are averaging 2.4 goals a game, comfortably enough to clear 1.5 on the numbers alone.
The one meeting between these sides finished a tight 1-0
This loses only if the match produces one goal or none, and the single previous meeting between these clubs did exactly that, a 1-0 Burnley win last year. Burnley have also lost 0-1 at home this season. If either defence repeats that pattern instead of the more common open scoreline, the pick fails.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksToday's acca
2 selections at 2.07
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 29, 2025 | Burnley | 1 - 0 | Bristol City |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +6 | 10 | ||
| 2 | 4 | +4 | 10 | ||
| 3 | 4 | +3 | 10 | ||
| 4 | 4 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 4 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 7 | 4 | +1 | 7 | ||
| 8 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 9 | 4 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 10 | 4 | -2 | 6 | ||
| 11 | 4 | +2 | 5 | ||
| 12 | 4 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 13 | 4 | 0 | 5 | ||
| 14 | 4 | -1 | 5 | ||
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
| 15 | 4 | -1 | 4 | ||
| 16 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 17 | 4 | -2 | 4 | ||
| 18 | 4 | +5 | 3 | ||
| 19 | 4 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 20 | 4 | -2 | 3 | ||
| 21 | 4 | -3 | 3 | ||
| 22 | 4 | -5 | 3 | ||
| 23 | 4 | -5 | 2 | ||
| 24 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 10 | |
| 2 | QPR | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| 3 | Charlton | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| 4 | Wolves | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 7 | |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 6 | Bristol City | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 7 | West Brom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
| 8 | Birmingham | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 9 | Sheffield United | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 6 | |
| 10 | Millwall | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 | |
| 11 | Wrexham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| 12 | West Ham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 5 | |
| 13 | Blackburn | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 5 | |
| 14 | Watford | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 | |
| 15 | Sheffield Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 15 | Bolton | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 | |
| 16 | Derby | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 | |
| 17 | Lincoln | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 | Southampton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 3 | |
| 19 | Cardiff | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 3 | |
| 20 | Norwich | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3 | |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 3 | |
| 22 | Stoke City | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 | |
| 23 | Burnley | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 2 | |
| 24 | Preston | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 0 |



