Carrarese vs Empoli Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.27

Bookmaker odds

Home2.46

Draw3.13

Away2.93

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

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One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Carrarese vs Empoli?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Empoli are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 2, 2026, 00:04 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match analysis

Neither Carrarese nor Empoli is converting even a quarter of its shots on target this season, and that shared inefficiency is why Superior rates Under 3.5 goals an 80 percent probability for their Serie B meeting on 5 September in Italy, priced at 1.27.

Neither attack is converting even a quarter of its shots on target

Carrarese's attack carries a 6.2 rating but has scored from only 16.7 percent of its shots on target, while Empoli's slightly sharper 6.3 rating still converts just over a quarter of its own chances. That inefficiency lines up with the scoring: Carrarese average 0.6 goals a game and Empoli 1.0, and four of Carrarese's last five have finished with one goal or fewer for each side.

Carrarese's 3-0 in January is the scoreline that breaks this

The pick loses if this produces four goals or more. Carrarese won the reverse fixture 3-0 in January, and the meeting before that finished 2-2, so this pairing has produced four-plus goals in both of the last two meetings between them. If either finishing rate ticks up even slightly from its current low base, that pattern could repeat.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

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Team news

Expected formations

Empoli: 3-4-2-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Carrarese vs Empoli

Head to Head

Carrarese vs Empoli: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
January 23, 2026	Carrarese	3 - 0	Empoli
September 28, 2025	Empoli	2 - 2	Carrarese

League Table

Serie BItaly · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	5	1	+4	6
2	Mantova	2	2	0	0	5	2	+3	6
3	Palermo	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6
4	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
5	Cesena	2	1	1	0	3	2	+1	4
6	Padova	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
7	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	2	1	+1	4
8	Avellino	2	1	0	1	4	2	+2	3
9	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3
10	Pisa	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3
11	Empoli	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3
12	Vicenza Virtus	2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3
13	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	1
14	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
16	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
17	Benevento	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
18	Catanzaro	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
19	Hellas Verona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Virtus Entella	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
20	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	0	4	-4	0

Relegation

Serie B - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points
1	Modena	2	2	0	0	5	1	4	6
2	Mantova	2	2	0	0	5	2	3	6
3	Palermo	2	2	0	0	4	2	2	6
4	Ascoli	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4
5	Cesena	2	1	1	0	3	2	1	4
6	Padova	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4
7	Sudtirol	2	1	1	0	2	1	1	4
8	Avellino	2	1	0	1	4	2	2	3
9	Arezzo	2	1	0	1	4	4	0	3
10	Pisa	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	3
11	Empoli	2	1	0	1	2	3	-1	3
12	Vicenza Virtus	2	1	0	1	3	5	-2	3
13	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	2	2	0	1
14	Carrarese	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
15	Verona	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
16	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
17	Benevento	2	0	1	1	2	3	-1	1
18	Catanzaro	2	0	0	2	3	5	-2	0
19	Hellas Verona	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Virtus Entella	2	0	0	2	1	3	-2	0
20	Cremonese	2	0	0	2	0	4	-4	0