Carrarese vs Empoli Prediction - 5 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
81%Odds 1.27Won
Correct score1-1Alternative1-0
Form
- D 1-1
- L 1-2
- L 0-1
- W 1-0
- L 0-2
- L 1-3
- W 1-0
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
- D 1-1
Head to head
- 23 Jan 2026 Carrarese 3 Empoli 0 Serie B
- 28 Sept 2025 Empoli 2 Carrarese 2 Serie B
Match highlights
PremiumMatch analysis
Neither Carrarese nor Empoli is converting even a quarter of its shots on target this season, and that shared inefficiency is why Superior rates Under 3.5 goals an 80 percent probability for their Serie B meeting on 5 September in Italy, priced at 1.27.
Neither attack is converting even a quarter of its shots on target
Carrarese's attack carries a 6.2 rating but has scored from only 16.7 percent of its shots on target, while Empoli's slightly sharper 6.3 rating still converts just over a quarter of its own chances. That inefficiency lines up with the scoring: Carrarese average 0.6 goals a game and Empoli 1.0, and four of Carrarese's last five have finished with one goal or fewer for each side.
Carrarese's 3-0 in January is the scoreline that breaks this
The pick loses if this produces four goals or more. Carrarese won the reverse fixture 3-0 in January, and the meeting before that finished 2-2, so this pairing has produced four-plus goals in both of the last two meetings between them. If either finishing rate ticks up even slightly from its current low base, that pattern could repeat.
More tips for this game
- Goals: Under 3.5
- Goals: Under 2.5
- Correct score: 1-1
Premium
After full time
Top five correct scores
- 1-113.2%Our score
- 1-013.0%Alternative
- 0-110.7%
- 0-010.5%
- 2-18.2%
Top five combined: 55.6%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Goals and BTTS chances
Combos
- Draw and under 2.5 goals23.7%
- Carrarese win and over 2.5 goals20.3%
- Carrarese win and both teams score15.6%
- Empoli win and over 2.5 goals14.1%
| Carrarese | Empoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Outcome markets | ||
| Win or draw | 69.8% | 58.7% |
| Draw no bet | 57.8% | 42.2% |
| Win to nil | 25.7% | 18.5% |
| Either team wins | 71.5% | |
| Team goals | ||
| To score | 71.0% | 63.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 35.1% | 27.0% |
| Clean sheet | 36.2% | 29.0% |
Today's acca
2 games, total odds 1.63
League table
League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +7 | 16 | |
| 2 | 6 | +7 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | +5 | 13 | |
| 4 | 6 | +6 | 12 | |
| 5 | 6 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | +4 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | +3 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | +2 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | -1 | 7 | |
| 11 | 6 | -3 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | -7 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | +1 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 | 6 | -6 | 5 | |
| 17 | 6 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 | 6 | -7 | 4 | |
| 19 | 7 | -6 | 4 | |
| 20 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 16 | |
| 2 | Mantova | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 | |
| 3 | Modena | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 13 | |
| 4 | Sudtirol | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | |
| 5 | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | |
| 6 | Avellino | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | |
| 7 | Pisa | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 10 | |
| 8 | Benevento | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 10 | |
| 9 | Verona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 8 | |
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | |
| 11 | Padova | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 | |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 7 | |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 5 | |
| 17 | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | |
| 19 | Catanzaro | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 | |
| 20 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |