Accrington ST vs Crawley Town Prediction - September 5, 2026

League TwoEnglandFull time
Accrington ST
3:2
Crawley Town
Projected scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:1-0

Goals: Under 3.51.38Lost

Bookmaker odds

Home2.02
Draw3.46price rising, opened at 3.44
Away3.45price falling, opened at 3.47

Market move since Sep 2. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.18price falling, opened at 1.20
Under 1.53.92price rising, opened at 3.70
Over 2.51.72price falling, opened at 1.79
Under 2.52.06price rising, opened at 1.97
Over 3.52.69price falling, opened at 2.83
Under 3.51.36price rising, opened at 1.33
Both teams to score
Yes1.59price falling, opened at 1.64
No2.21price rising, opened at 2.13
Odd/Even
Odd1.88
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -0.251.73price falling, opened at 1.74
Away +0.252.01

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Crawley Town?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Accrington ST are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Why this prediction

  • Accrington ST and Crawley Town average 2.8 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: LOST

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-112.4%Projected
  2. 1-011.9%Alternative
  3. 2-19.2%
  4. 2-08.8%
  5. 0-18.4%

Top five combined: 50.7%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAccrington STxG1.48
AwayCrawley TownxG1.04
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
8.1%
12%
8.8%
4.3%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
1
8.4%
12%
9.2%
4.5%
1.7%
0.5%
0.2%
2
4.4%
6.4%
4.7%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
3
1.5%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 49.8%50.2% No
Over 1.5 71.6%28.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 46.0%54.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 24.5%75.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Accrington ST win and over 2.5 goals26.5%
Accrington ST win and both teams score19.9%
Crawley Town win and over 2.5 goals13.8%
Draw and under 2.5 goals20.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Accrington ST or draw73.4%
Crawley Town or draw52.7%
Either team wins73.9%
Draw no bet: Accrington ST64.0%
Draw no bet: Crawley Town36.0%
Accrington ST win to nil27.3%
Crawley Town win to nil14.8%
Team goals
Accrington ST to score77.2%
Crawley Town to score64.6%
Accrington ST over 1.5 goals43.4%
Crawley Town over 1.5 goals27.8%
Accrington ST clean sheet35.4%
Crawley Town clean sheet22.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.07

See the ticket
Prediction, preview and head to head: Accrington ST vs Crawley Town
Head to Head

Head to Head

Accrington ST vs Crawley Town: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
April 25, 2026Accrington ST3 - 3Crawley Town
November 22, 2025Crawley Town1 - 1Accrington ST
League Table

League Table

League TwoEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
14301116+59
2422095+48
3422084+48
4422042+28
5421173+47
6421187+17
7421187+17
842115507
942115507
10413075+26
11413054+16
1100000000
12413043+16
1341216605
1441129904
1541124404
16411234-14
17411235-24
18403123-13
19410346-23
20410336-33
21403125-33
22410328-63
23402269-32
24402226-42
Relegation
League Two - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Bristol Rovers430111659
2Barnet42209548
3Walsall42208448
4Crewe42204228
5Oldham42117347
6Cheltenham42118717
7York42118717
8Colchester42115507
9Swindon Town42115507
10Tranmere Rovers41307526
11Grimsby41305416
11Tranmere00000000
12Fleetwood Town41304316
13Rotherham41216605
14Newport County41129904
15Exeter City41124404
16Chesterfield411234-14
17Crawley Town411235-24
18Northampton403123-13
19Rochdale410346-23
20Salford City410336-33
21Gillingham403125-33
22Shrewsbury410328-63
23Accrington ST402269-32
24Port Vale402226-42