Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prediction - September 4, 2026
Alternative:2-0
Match Winner: Home1.45Lost
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 2-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Monaco are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Monaco arrive on four wins from five, but Superior's model still makes Paris Saint Germain favourites to beat them outright on 4 September, pricing the home win at 1.45 with 60 percent confidence. PSG have conceded just once in their last three matches at home.
PSG have conceded just once in three home matches
Across their last three matches on their own ground, PSG have posted a 2-2, a 1-0 and a 2-1, shipping only a single goal across those three games while scoring in every one. Monaco arrive on the back of four wins in five, but that run has come against defending PSG have not had to face at home this season.
The head-to-head is not on Superior's side
Across the last four meetings, PSG have won only once, drawing one and losing two, including a 1-3 defeat as recently as March. If Monaco's front line repeats that kind of night, this pick loses: a draw of any scoreline or any Monaco win is enough to beat it, and the h2h record is real reason to respect that possibility.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
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Grade: LOST
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 2-19.3%Projected
- 2-08.0%Alternative
- 3-17.8%
- 1-17.3%
- 3-06.7%
Top five combined: 39.1%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 1.73
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Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 6, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 3 | Monaco |
| February 25, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 2 | Monaco |
| February 17, 2026 | Monaco | 2 - 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
| November 29, 2025 | Monaco | 1 - 0 | Paris Saint Germain |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +4 | 9 | ||
| 2 | 3 | +4 | 7 | ||
| 3 | 3 | +4 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 3 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 3 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 9 | 3 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 10 | 3 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 11 | 3 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 12 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 13 | 3 | -1 | 2 | ||
| 14 | 3 | -1 | 2 | ||
| 15 | 3 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 16 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 17 | 3 | -3 | 1 | ||
| 18 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | |
| 2 | Paris FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| 4 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 5 | Rennes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | |
| 8 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 9 | Estac Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | |
| 10 | Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | |
| 12 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 13 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | |
| 14 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | |
| 15 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 | |
| 16 | Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 17 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | |
| 18 | Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 |
