Lyon vs Auxerre Prediction - September 4, 2026
Alternative:1-1
Goals: Under 3.51.44Lost
What is the prediction for Lyon vs Auxerre?
The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 1-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Lyon are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.
Match analysis
Five goals, then none, then four: that has been the scoring pattern across the last three meetings between Lyon and Auxerre, and Superior is backing Under 3.5 goals again when they meet on 4 September at 1.44. The model rates the pick 60 percent likely.
The head-to-head has only crossed four goals once in three meetings
Of the three meetings on record, one finished 3-2, one was goalless and one finished 3-1, an average of three goals a game rather than four. Lyon are scoring 1.6 goals a game themselves this season and Auxerre 1.2, a combined rate of 2.8 that sits comfortably under this line even before accounting for a typically tighter fixture between these two.
One of the last three meetings already crossed this line
The 3-2 meeting on this fixture's own head-to-head record is proof the total can get away from both sides. Lyon have also lost 1-2 in their own last five, so if their defense has an off night while Auxerre's attack clicks the way it did in that 3-2, four goals or more is very much in play, and that is the one scoreline this pick is betting against repeating.
AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.
Markets to consider
Best price we found across booksPremium model depth
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Grade: LOST
This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.
Scoreline Depth
- 2-19.4%Projected
- 1-18.1%Alternative
- 2-07.3%
- 3-17.3%
- 1-06.3%
Top five combined: 38.4%
Full score grid
Score Matrix
Market Probability View
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Full Market Board
Correlated combos
Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.
Outcome markets
Team goals
Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.
Today's acca
2 selections at 1.73
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Team news
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 25, 2026 | Lyon | 3 - 2 | Auxerre |
| November 23, 2025 | Auxerre | 0 - 0 | Lyon |
| April 13, 2025 | Auxerre | 1 - 3 | Lyon |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +4 | 9 | ||
| 2 | 3 | +4 | 7 | ||
| 3 | 3 | +4 | 7 | ||
| 4 | 3 | +3 | 7 | ||
| 5 | 3 | +2 | 7 | ||
| 6 | 3 | +1 | 6 | ||
| 7 | 3 | +1 | 5 | ||
| 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | ||
| 9 | 3 | -3 | 4 | ||
| 10 | 3 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 11 | 3 | +1 | 3 | ||
| 12 | 3 | -1 | 3 | ||
| 13 | 3 | -1 | 2 | ||
| 14 | 3 | -1 | 2 | ||
| 15 | 3 | -3 | 2 | ||
| 16 | 3 | -2 | 1 | ||
| 17 | 3 | -3 | 1 | ||
| 18 | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monaco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | |
| 2 | Paris FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| 3 | Lyon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 7 | |
| 4 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| 5 | Rennes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | |
| 7 | Stade Brestois 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | |
| 8 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | |
| 9 | Estac Troyes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 | |
| 10 | Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | |
| 11 | Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | |
| 12 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 | |
| 13 | Paris Saint Germain | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | |
| 14 | Le Mans | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 2 | |
| 15 | Nice | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 2 | |
| 16 | Le Havre | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 | |
| 17 | Toulouse | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 1 | |
| 18 | Auxerre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 0 |
