Criciuma vs Cuiaba Prediction - September 4, 2026

Serie BBrazilFull time
Criciuma
2:0
Cuiaba
Projected scoreOur pick
1-0

Alternative:0-0

Goals: Under 2.51.47Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.79price falling, opened at 1.92
Draw3.22price rising, opened at 3.04
Away5.02price rising, opened at 4.50

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.50price falling, opened at 1.54
Under 1.52.50price rising, opened at 2.40
Over 2.52.65price rising, opened at 2.56
Under 2.51.45price rising, opened at 1.40
Over 3.54.70price falling, opened at 5.05
Under 3.51.17price rising, opened at 1.10
Both teams to score
Yes2.17price falling, opened at 2.26
No1.65price rising, opened at 1.57
Odd/Even
Odd1.93price rising, opened at 1.90
Even1.82price rising, opened at 1.80
Handicap
Home -0.752.09
Away +0.751.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Criciuma vs Cuiaba?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 0, with 0-0 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Cuiaba are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

All three meetings on record between Criciuma and Cuiaba have finished with two total goals or fewer, history that supports Superior's Under 2.5 goals pick on 4 September. The price is 1.47 and the model rates it 73 percent likely, with Criciuma's 6.4 defence rating the best number on the sheet.

All three head-to-head meetings have produced two goals or fewer

The last three meetings finished 1-1, 0-1 and 1-0, never crossing two total goals between them. Criciuma's own attack has managed just 0.6 goals a game this season, the lowest number in the match, while their 6.4 defence rating edges Cuiaba's attack rating of 6.0, a pairing that points toward another tight scoreline.

Cuiaba have scored in four of their last five games

Cuiaba have found the net in four of their own last five, including a 3-1 win, a more consistent scoring record than Criciuma's own blunt home form suggests they'll allow. If Cuiaba add two goals and Criciuma manage even one at the other end, three total goals beats this line; that is the version of Cuiaba this pick is betting stays the exception rather than the rule.

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-017.5%Projected
  2. 0-013.9%Alternative
  3. 1-112.5%
  4. 2-010.9%
  5. 0-110.0%

Top five combined: 64.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCriciumaxG1.25
AwayCuiabaxG0.72
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
14%
17%
11%
4.6%
1.4%
0.4%
0.1%
1
10%
13%
7.8%
3.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
2
3.6%
4.5%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
3
0.9%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
4
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6+
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 36.6%63.4% No
Over 1.5 58.6%41.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 31.5%68.5% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 13.8%86.2% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Criciuma win and over 2.5 goals20.7%
Criciuma win and both teams score14.3%
Cuiaba win and over 2.5 goals7.7%
Draw and under 2.5 goals26.5%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Criciuma or draw78.7%
Cuiaba or draw50.9%
Either team wins70.4%
Draw no bet: Criciuma69.7%
Draw no bet: Cuiaba30.3%
Criciuma win to nil34.8%
Cuiaba win to nil14.6%
Team goals
Criciuma to score71.4%
Cuiaba to score51.2%
Criciuma over 1.5 goals35.6%
Cuiaba over 1.5 goals16.2%
Criciuma clean sheet48.8%
Cuiaba clean sheet28.6%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 2.08

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Team news

Expected formations

Criciuma: 3-4-2-1(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Criciuma vs Cuiaba
Head to Head

Head to Head

Criciuma vs Cuiaba: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
May 2, 2026Cuiaba1 - 1Criciuma
November 23, 2025Cuiaba1 - 0Criciuma
July 29, 2025Criciuma1 - 0Cuiaba
League Table

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
12613852815+1347
22613852819+947
32613764423+2146
42613583730+744
52612862922+744
62612684036+442
72611783333040
826101063025+540
92691163426+838
102610793128+337
112691073127+437
1226106102531-636
132681262321+236
14269893629+735
152687112929031
162687112733-631
172685132834-629
182657143038-822
192635181945-2614
202624201654-3810
Relegation
Serie B - League Table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Juventude26138528151347WLWWD
2Criciuma2613852819947DWWWW
3Novorizontino26137644232146WLLLW
4Vila Nova2613583730744LWLLW
5Fortaleza EC2612862922744WLWLW
6CRB2612684036442WWWDL
7Operario-PR2611783333040LWDWW
8Atletico Goianiense26101063025540WWDWL
9Sport Recife2691163426838DDDDL
10Nautico Recife2610793128337DWLLD
11Athletic Club2691073127437DWDDL
12Goias26106102531-636LDWDW
13Cuiaba2681262321236DLLDW
14São Bernardo269893629735LLDDL
15Botafogo SP2687112929031LWDDW
16Ceara2687112733-631WLDDL
17Avai2685132834-629LWDWL
18Londrina2657143038-822LLDDW
19America Mineiro2635181945-2614WLDDL
20Ponte Preta2624201654-3810DLLLL