Athletic Club vs Vila Nova Prediction

Projected scoreOur pick

1-1

Alternative:1-2

Goals: Over 1.51.47Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.78

Draw2.98

Away2.68

Market move since Sep 1. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.54

Under 1.52.38

Over 2.52.65

Under 2.51.45

Over 3.55.14

Under 3.51.14

Both teams to score

Yes2.21

No1.62

Odd/Even

Odd1.93

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +01.90

Away +01.90

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Vila Nova?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 1-2 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Vila Nova are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Generated Sep 1, 2026, 00:03 UTCModel CS-4Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Serie B: Athletic Club vs Vila NovaESPN BrasilUnlock with Premium

Match analysis

Athletic Club are fighting to avoid relegation while Vila Nova sit comfortably in mid-table with little pressing on the result, and that contrast in what's at stake sits behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick in Athletic Club vs Vila Nova on 4 September, priced at 1.47 with the model 57 percent confident. Vila Nova have scored six in one of their last five games.

Vila Nova have scored six goals in one of their last five

Vila Nova's own scoring has been streaky: a 6-0 and a 2-0 sit alongside a 0-0 and a 0-1, but when they click they can put a game out of reach quickly. Athletic Club add 1.4 goals a game of their own under pressure to save their season, and the combined rate of 3.4 between the two sides clears this line even before recent home form is weighed.

The head-to-head has produced two goals or fewer three times running

All three meetings on record have finished with two total goals or fewer: 1-1, 1-1 and 0-1. If this fixture reverts to that tighter head-to-head pattern instead of either side's season-long scoring rate, a 1-0 or a 0-0 is the only way this loses, and that h2h record is real reason for caution.

Written by the Superior Football Desk · Text drafted by claude-sonnet-5

AI-assisted analysis, written before kickoff from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books

Compare all books

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

1-19.6%Projected
1-28.3%Alternative
2-18.0%
2-27.0%
0-15.7%

Top five combined: 38.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeAthletic ClubxG1.67

AwayVila NovaxG1.74

3.3%

5.5%

4.6%

2.6%

1.1%

0.4%

0.1%

5.7%

9.6%

8.0%

4.5%

1.9%

0.6%

0.2%

5.0%

8.3%

7.0%

3.9%

1.6%

0.5%

0.2%

2.9%

4.8%

4.0%

2.2%

0.9%

0.3%

0.1%

1.3%

2.1%

1.8%

1.0%

0.4%

0.1%

0.0%

0.4%

0.7%

0.6%

0.3%

0.1%

0.0%

0.2%

0.3%

0.2%

0.1%

0.0%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 66.9%33.1% No

Over 1.5 85.4%14.6% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 66.2%33.8% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 44.4%55.6% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Athletic Club win and over 2.5 goals27.2%

Athletic Club win and both teams score23.0%

Vila Nova win and over 2.5 goals29.3%

Draw and under 2.5 goals12.9%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets

Athletic Club or draw59.9%

Vila Nova or draw62.7%

Either team wins77.4%

Draw no bet: Athletic Club48.2%

Draw no bet: Vila Nova51.8%

Athletic Club win to nil14.3%

Vila Nova win to nil15.5%

Team goals

Athletic Club to score81.2%

Vila Nova to score82.4%

Athletic Club over 1.5 goals49.8%

Vila Nova over 1.5 goals51.8%

Athletic Club clean sheet17.6%

Vila Nova clean sheet18.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Predictions stay free. Premium adds the extras below, on football and basketball.

Match highlightsVideo highlights for football and basketball games, on the match page as soon as we find them.
Scoreline DepthExplore the complete score distribution, the five most likely scorelines with probabilities and their cumulative probability.
Market Probability ViewCompare model probabilities for BTTS and the main goal lines in one view.
Full Market BoardCheck correlated combos such as home win with over 2.5, plus double chance, draw no bet, win to nil and team goals in one board.
Custom Acca BuilderUnlimited builds to a target odd, with reshuffle. Free users get 1 build per day.

No automatic renewal.

Today's acca

2 selections at 2.08

See the ticket

Daily pick and morning ticket, on Telegram.

Join free

Prediction, preview and head to head: Athletic Club vs Vila Nova

Head to Head

Athletic Club vs Vila Nova: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
May 4, 2026	Vila Nova	1 - 1	Athletic Club
September 9, 2025	Vila Nova	1 - 1	Athletic Club
May 7, 2025	Athletic Club	0 - 1	Vila Nova

League Table

Serie BBrazil · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventude	26	13	8	5	28	15	+13	47
2	Criciuma	26	13	8	5	28	19	+9	47
3	Novorizontino	26	13	7	6	44	23	+21	46
4	Vila Nova	26	13	5	8	37	30	+7	44
5	Fortaleza EC	26	12	8	6	29	22	+7	44
6	CRB	26	12	6	8	40	36	+4	42
7	Operario-PR	26	11	7	8	33	33	0	40
8	Atletico Goianiense	26	10	10	6	30	25	+5	40
9	Sport Recife	26	9	11	6	34	26	+8	38
10	Nautico Recife	26	10	7	9	31	28	+3	37
11	Athletic Club	26	9	10	7	31	27	+4	37
12	Goias	26	10	6	10	25	31	-6	36
13	Cuiaba	26	8	12	6	23	21	+2	36
14	São Bernardo	26	9	8	9	36	29	+7	35
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	7	11	29	29	0	31
16	Ceara	26	8	7	11	27	33	-6	31
17	Avai	26	8	5	13	28	34	-6	29
18	Londrina	26	5	7	14	30	38	-8	22
19	America Mineiro	26	3	5	18	19	45	-26	14
20	Ponte Preta	26	2	4	20	16	54	-38	10

Relegation

Serie B - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Juventude	26	13	8	5	28	15	13	47	WLWWD
2	Criciuma	26	13	8	5	28	19	9	47	DWWWW
3	Novorizontino	26	13	7	6	44	23	21	46	WLLLW
4	Vila Nova	26	13	5	8	37	30	7	44	LWLLW
5	Fortaleza EC	26	12	8	6	29	22	7	44	WLWLW
6	CRB	26	12	6	8	40	36	4	42	WWWDL
7	Operario-PR	26	11	7	8	33	33	0	40	LWDWW
8	Atletico Goianiense	26	10	10	6	30	25	5	40	WWDWL
9	Sport Recife	26	9	11	6	34	26	8	38	DDDDL
10	Nautico Recife	26	10	7	9	31	28	3	37	DWLLD
11	Athletic Club	26	9	10	7	31	27	4	37	DWDDL
12	Goias	26	10	6	10	25	31	-6	36	LDWDW
13	Cuiaba	26	8	12	6	23	21	2	36	DLLDW
14	São Bernardo	26	9	8	9	36	29	7	35	LLDDL
15	Botafogo SP	26	8	7	11	29	29	0	31	LWDDW
16	Ceara	26	8	7	11	27	33	-6	31	WLDDL
17	Avai	26	8	5	13	28	34	-6	29	LWDWL
18	Londrina	26	5	7	14	30	38	-8	22	LLDDW
19	America Mineiro	26	3	5	18	19	45	-26	14	WLDDL
20	Ponte Preta	26	2	4	20	16	54	-38	10	DLLLL

Athletic Club vs Vila Nova Prediction - September 4, 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Athletic Club vs Vila Nova?

Match highlights

Match analysis

Vila Nova have scored six goals in one of their last five

The head-to-head has produced two goals or fewer three times running

Markets to consider

Premium model depth

Scoreline Depth

Market Probability View

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Premium

More Serie B Predictions

Head to Head

League Table

From our blog

Champions League live: Club Brugge, Arsenal, Leverkusen, Newcastle, Athletic Bilbao and PSG share the spotlight

Headphones Norm tributes show Charlton fans’ bond with The Valley

Chelsea injuries: Club World Cup schedule leaves Premier League campaign under strain

Chelsea injuries cast long shadow over Club World Cup and Premier League plans