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Tamworth vs Sutton United Prediction - 30 September 2026

National LeagueEnglandFull time
Tamworth
2-0
Sutton United

Our pick:Over 1.5 goals

82%Odds 1.20Won

Correct score1-1Alternative2-1

5/5 Over 1.5 goals Tamworth · last 5 games

Form

Tamworth
  1. L 1-5
  2. W 2-1
  3. L 1-3
  4. L 1-3
  5. L 1-3
Sutton United
  1. D 3-3
  2. D 1-1
  3. W 2-1
  4. L 0-2
  5. D 1-1

Bookmaker odds

Home2.23price rising, opened at 2.17
Draw4.02price rising, opened at 3.46
Away2.79price falling, opened at 2.80
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.15price falling, opened at 1.16
Under 1.54.70price rising, opened at 4.15
Over 2.51.58price falling, opened at 1.59
Under 2.52.34price rising, opened at 2.17
Over 3.52.35price falling, opened at 2.43
Under 3.51.58price rising, opened at 1.44
Both teams to score
Yes1.48price falling, opened at 1.51
No2.45price rising, opened at 2.36
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.83
Even1.80price falling, opened at 1.83
Handicap
Home -0.251.91price rising, opened at 1.87
Away +0.251.74price falling, opened at 1.77
Methodology

Match highlights

Premium

Match analysis

Every one of Tamworth's last five games had at least three goals, and every one of Sutton United's had at least two. That record sits behind Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick for Tamworth vs Sutton United on 30 September, available at 1.20, and the model gives two or more goals an 82% chance.

Tamworth average 1.2 goals a game and Sutton 1.4

Superior's expected goals start from what each side scores and what the other concedes, and both point up here. Tamworth have let in three or more in four of their last five, including 5-1 at Aldershot Town on 26 September, and Sutton drew 3-3 with Forest Green the same day. Tamworth have scored in every game of that run too.

Three of Sutton's last five stopped at exactly two goals

Sutton lost 2-0 at home to Scunthorpe on 12 September and drew 1-1 at FC Halifax Town and against Birmingham City U21, so each of those cleared the line by a single goal. Take one away and it's a 1-0 or 0-1, which beats this pick, and so does a 0-0.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Over 1.5Won1.20
Compare bookmakers

Premium

After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-111.6%Our score
  2. 2-18.8%Alternative
  3. 1-28.4%
  4. 1-08.0%
  5. 0-17.6%

Top five combined: 44.4%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeTamworthxG1.55
AwaySutton UnitedxG1.34
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.7%
8.0%
5.9%
3.1%
1.2%
0.5%
0.2%
1
7.6%
12%
8.8%
4.1%
1.6%
0.5%
0.2%
2
5.3%
8.4%
6.0%
3.0%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
3
2.6%
3.7%
2.8%
1.4%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 58.5%41.5% No
Over 1.5 78.7%21.3% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 56.0%44.0% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 33.1%66.9% Under 3.5

Combos

  1. Tamworth win and over 2.5 goals25.3%
  2. Sutton United win and over 2.5 goals23.0%
  3. Tamworth win and both teams score20.4%
  4. Draw and under 2.5 goals17.3%
TamworthSutton United
Outcome markets
Win or draw64.1%60.8%
Draw no bet52.2%47.8%
Win to nil18.8%17.0%
Either team wins75.1%
Team goals
To score77.3%75.5%
Over 1.5 goals43.7%41.2%
Clean sheet24.5%22.7%

Premium

  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.64
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Prediction, preview and head to head: Tamworth vs Sutton United
League table

League table

National LeagueEngland · 2026/2027
#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1
Boreham Wood
1311203413+2135
2
Harrogate Town
128132817+1125
3
Southend
127322918+1124
4
Yeovil Town
126422615+1122
5
Worthing
126332218+421
6
Altrincham
127051718-121
7
AFC Fylde
126242218+420
8
Kidderminster Harriers
125431512+319
9
Barrow
125342015+518
10
Aldershot Town
125341713+418
11
Sutton United
135351418-418
12
AFC Hornchurch
126061319-618
13
FC Halifax Town
125251814+417
14
Carlisle
124442320+316
15
Woking
124352019+115
16
Forest Green
114341718-115
17
Eastleigh
124351418-415
18
Tamworth
124262028-814
19
Wealdstone
123361718-112
20
Boston United
123361421-712
21
Scunthorpe
113171519-410
22
Hartlepool
12309817-99
23
Solihull Moors
122191330-177
24
Gateshead
121110727-204
Relegation
National League - League table
PositionTeamPlayedWonDrawnLostGoals ForGoals AgainstGoal DifferencePointsForm
1Boreham Wood13112034132135
2Harrogate Town1281328171125
3Southend1273229181124
4Yeovil Town1264226151122
5Worthing126332218421
6Altrincham127051718-121
7AFC Fylde126242218420
8Kidderminster Harriers125431512319
9Barrow125342015518
10Aldershot Town125341713418
11Sutton United135351418-418
12AFC Hornchurch126061319-618
13FC Halifax Town125251814417
14Carlisle124442320316
15Woking124352019115
16Forest Green114341718-115
17Eastleigh124351418-415
18Tamworth124262028-814
19Wealdstone123361718-112
20Boston United123361421-712
21Scunthorpe113171519-410
22Hartlepool12309817-99
23Solihull Moors122191330-177
24Gateshead121110727-204