Leon vs FC Juarez Prediction - 28 September 2026
Our pick:Under 3.5 goals
64%Odds 1.50
Correct score2-1Alternative1-1
What is the prediction for Leon vs FC Juarez?
Our correct score is 2-1, then 1-1. Leon are in better form heading into this match.
Match analysis
Leon beat Club America 1-0 and Atletico San Luis 2-0 at home this month, and Superior's correct score for Leon vs FC Juarez on 27 September is another home win, 2-1. The pick is Under 3.5 goals, which the model puts at 64 percent, at odds of 1.50.
Leon have scored five in five, FC Juarez four
Leon average 1.0 goals a game and FC Juarez 0.8, and Superior's expected goals, which start from that measured scoring and conceding, turn those rates into a score grid where most of the weight sits on three goals or fewer. Neither side has scored more than twice in any of its last five, and the model's own 2-1 leaves a goal of room under the line.
Leon beat FC Juarez 3-1 in April
The last meeting at Leon, in April, ended 3-1, exactly the four goals that beats the Under, and FC Juarez conceded four at Toluca on 31 August. Leon also lost 3-1 at Pumas on 11 September. A 3-1 or 2-2 is enough to beat this line, and the model's own 2-1 sits one goal short of it.
More tips for this game
- Correct score: 1-1
Today's acca
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Formations
Expected formations
Head to Head
Head to Head
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 April 2026 | Leon | 3 - 1 | FC Juarez |
| 27 September 2025 | FC Juarez | 2 - 0 | Leon |
League Table
League Table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +11 | 19 | ||
| 2 | 9 | +9 | 18 | ||
| 3 | 8 | +9 | 17 | ||
| 4 | 10 | -1 | 17 | ||
| 5 | 9 | +1 | 15 | ||
| 6 | 8 | +3 | 14 | ||
| 7 | 9 | +2 | 14 | ||
| 8 | 9 | +1 | 14 | ||
| 9 | 9 | 0 | 14 | ||
| 10 | 9 | +2 | 13 | ||
| 11 | 9 | +5 | 12 | ||
| 12 | 9 | -1 | 12 | ||
| 13 | 10 | -3 | 11 | ||
| 14 | 9 | -5 | 9 | ||
| 15 | 9 | -6 | 8 | ||
| 16 | 9 | -4 | 7 | ||
| 17 | 9 | -6 | 7 | ||
| 18 | 9 | -17 | 3 |
| Position | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals For | Goals Against | Goal Difference | Points | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 19 | WLW |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 | DWL |
| 3 | Club America | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 17 | WDW |
| 4 | Atlas | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 17 | LWW |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 15 | LWW |
| 6 | Club Queretaro | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 14 | WWL |
| 7 | Leon | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 | WLL |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 14 | DWW |
| 9 | Puebla | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 14 | DLW |
| 10 | Monterrey | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 13 | WLW |
| 11 | CF Pachuca | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 5 | 12 | LLW |
| 12 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 | WWL |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 | WDL |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 9 | DDL |
| 15 | Necaxa | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 | LWW |
| 16 | Tigres UANL | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 | LDL |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -6 | 7 | LLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | 23 | -17 | 3 | LLL |