Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

76%Odds 1.22Won

Correct score1-1Alternative0-1

Bookmaker odds

Home3.73

Draw3.15

Away1.92

More markets

Total goals

Over 1.51.38

Under 1.52.63

Over 2.52.20

Under 2.51.57

Over 3.54.00

Under 3.51.17

Both teams to score

Yes1.97

No1.73

Odd/Even

Odd1.84

Even1.82

Handicap

Home +0.252.04

Away -0.251.66

What is the prediction for Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 0-1. Progreso are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Why this prediction

Progreso and Racing Montevideo average 2.4 goals a match between them, against a line of 3.5.

More tips for this game

Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.63
Correct score: 1-1Lost5.50
Correct score: 0-1Lost5.80

Compare bookmakers

After full time

Top five correct scores

1-113.5%Our score
0-114.2%Alternative
0-012.1%
1-010.6%
1-28.2%

Top five combined: 58.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeProgresoxG0.89

AwayRacing MontevideoxG1.28

12%

11%

5.0%

1.6%

0.4%

0.1%

<0.1%

14%

6.5%

1.9%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

8.1%

8.2%

3.9%

1.3%

0.3%

<0.1%

3.1%

3.0%

1.6%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

1.0%

0.9%

0.5%

0.1%

<0.1%

0.2%

<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 43.5%56.5% No

Over 1.5 63.1%36.9% Under 1.5

Over 2.5 36.5%63.5% Under 2.5

Over 3.5 17.2%82.8% Under 3.5

Combos

Progreso win and over 2.5 goals12.9%

Progreso win and both teams score10.8%

Racing Montevideo win and over 2.5 goals19.3%

Draw and under 2.5 goals25.6%

Outcome markets

Progreso or draw58.5%

Racing Montevideo or draw71.5%

Either team wins70.0%

Draw no bet: Progreso40.8%

Draw no bet: Racing Montevideo59.2%

Progreso win to nil17.7%

Racing Montevideo win to nil26.7%

Team goals

Progreso to score61.2%

Racing Montevideo to score70.2%

Progreso over 1.5 goals24.7%

Racing Montevideo over 1.5 goals33.5%

Progreso clean sheet29.8%

Racing Montevideo clean sheet38.8%

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61

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Formations

Expected formations

Progreso: 4-2-3-1(predicted)

Prediction, preview and head to head: Progreso vs Racing Montevideo

Head to Head

Progreso vs Racing Montevideo: Head-to-Head History
Date	Home	Score	Away
26 March 2026	Racing Montevideo	1 - 1	Progreso
29 September 2025	Racing Montevideo	0 - 0	Progreso
22 June 2025	Racing Montevideo	3 - 0	Progreso
30 March 2025	Progreso	0 - 1	Racing Montevideo

League Table

Primera División - AperturaUruguay · 2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Peñarol Montevideo	29	18	5	6	48	24	+24	58
2	Deportivo Maldonado	30	16	7	7	46	27	+19	55
3	Atletico Torque	29	16	5	8	51	34	+17	53
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	+7	27
4	Racing Montevideo	30	14	11	5	36	24	+12	53
5	Club Nacional	30	15	4	11	45	38	+7	49
6	Wanderers	30	13	8	9	38	36	+2	47
7	Liverpool Montevideo	30	12	10	8	39	28	+11	46
8	Central Espanol	30	10	8	12	32	39	-7	38
9	Juventud	30	9	9	12	35	39	-4	36
10	Defensor Sporting	30	8	11	11	26	33	-7	35
11	Albion FC	30	9	7	14	38	40	-2	34
12	Cerro Largo	30	8	9	13	28	34	-6	33
13	Cerro	30	9	6	15	23	43	-20	33
14	Boston River	30	8	6	16	29	42	-13	30
15	Progreso	30	8	4	18	25	43	-18	28
16	Danubio	30	4	14	12	24	39	-15	26

Primera División - Apertura - League Table
Position	Team	Played	Won	Drawn	Lost	Goals For	Goals Against	Goal Difference	Points	Form
1	Peñarol Montevideo	29	18	5	6	48	24	24	58
2	Deportivo Maldonado	30	16	7	7	46	27	19	55	DLDWW
3	Atletico Torque	29	16	5	8	51	34	17	53	LWWLW
4	Penarol	15	8	3	4	23	16	7	27	WWDWL
4	Racing Montevideo	30	14	11	5	36	24	12	53	WLDDD
5	Club Nacional	30	15	4	11	45	38	7	49	LDWLW
6	Wanderers	30	13	8	9	38	36	2	47	WWWDW
7	Liverpool Montevideo	30	12	10	8	39	28	11	46	DWLDW
8	Central Espanol	30	10	8	12	32	39	-7	38	DLDDW
9	Juventud	30	9	9	12	35	39	-4	36	DWLDL
10	Defensor Sporting	30	8	11	11	26	33	-7	35	LDDDL
11	Albion FC	30	9	7	14	38	40	-2	34	DLDWL
12	Cerro Largo	30	8	9	13	28	34	-6	33	LWDDW
13	Cerro	30	9	6	15	23	43	-20	33	WWLLW
14	Boston River	30	8	6	16	29	42	-13	30	LLDDL
15	Progreso	30	8	4	18	25	43	-18	28	WLLWL
16	Danubio	30	4	14	12	24	39	-15	26	DLDDD

Progreso vs Racing Montevideo Prediction - 26 September 2026

Bookmaker odds

What is the prediction for Progreso vs Racing Montevideo?

Why this prediction

More tips for this game

Premium

Top five correct scores

Goals and BTTS chances

Combos

Combos

More Primera División - Apertura predictions

Expected formations

Head to Head

League Table