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South Korea vs Ecuador Prediction - 24 September 2026

FriendliesWorldFull time
South Korea
3-0
Ecuador

Our pick:Under 3.5 goals

77%Odds 1.25Won

Correct score1-1Alternative1-0

Bookmaker odds

Home2.26price falling, opened at 2.46
Draw3.34price falling, opened at 3.38
Away3.19price rising, opened at 2.85
More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.34price rising, opened at 1.33
Under 1.52.78price falling, opened at 2.83
Over 2.52.18price rising, opened at 2.15
Under 2.51.68price falling, opened at 1.70
Over 3.53.75price rising, opened at 3.70
Under 3.51.19price falling, opened at 1.20
Both teams to score
Yes1.86price rising, opened at 1.84
No1.84price falling, opened at 1.86
Odd/Even
Odd1.86price rising, opened at 1.85
Even1.84price falling, opened at 1.85
Handicap
Home -0.251.93
Away +0.251.88

What is the prediction for South Korea vs Ecuador?

Our correct score is 1-1, then 1-0. South Korea are in better form heading into this match.

Methodology

Match highlights

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Match analysis

South Korea's last five matches have swung from a 5-0 win to two separate 0-1 defeats, and that inconsistency, not a settled low-scoring trend, is what keeps Superior's Under 3.5 goals number for South Korea vs Ecuador on 24 September at 1.25. The model's own confidence in it is 77 percent, with Ecuador having gone blank twice in the same span.

South Korea have been shut out in two of their last five

The 5-0 sits alongside two matches where South Korea themselves failed to score at all, both 0-1 defeats. That kind of swing, one big scoreline surrounded by two blanks, is the sort of form the model treats cautiously rather than projecting forward as a new baseline.

Ecuador have also gone blank twice in their last five

Ecuador's own recent matches include a 0-0 draw and a 0-1 defeat alongside two wins, one of them a 3-0. Both sides carry a genuine scoring threat, South Korea's attack rated 6.5 and Ecuador's 5.9, but the frequency of low-scoring results from both teams is the more relevant signal for a total line.

That 5-0 sits alone among South Korea's recent scorelines

If South Korea's attack repeats the form behind that 5-0 rather than the two matches either side of it where they failed to score, this total clears 3.5 on the home side's goals alone. It is one result in five rather than the pattern, and a friendly with nothing structurally at stake is exactly the kind of fixture where a team can suddenly play with that freedom.

Written by the Superior Football Desk

More tips for this game

  • Goals: Under 2.5Lost1.75
  • Correct score: 1-1Lost5.85
  • Correct score: 1-0Lost6.50
Compare bookmakers

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After full time

Top five correct scores

  1. 1-113.7%Our score
  2. 1-014.3%Alternative
  3. 0-011.6%
  4. 0-19.7%
  5. 2-08.3%

Top five combined: 57.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeSouth KoreaxG1.20
AwayEcuadorxG1.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
12%
14%
8.3%
3.3%
1.1%
0.4%
<0.1%
1
9.7%
14%
8.0%
3.1%
1.1%
0.3%
<0.1%
2
4.6%
6.4%
3.8%
1.6%
0.5%
0.1%
<0.1%
3
1.7%
2.0%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
4
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.1%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Goals and BTTS chances

Both teams to score Yes 44.2%55.8% No
Over 1.5 64.4%35.6% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 37.8%62.2% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 18.3%81.7% Under 3.5

Combos

Combos

South Korea win and over 2.5 goals19.9%
South Korea win and both teams score15.0%
Ecuador win and over 2.5 goals13.5%
Draw and under 2.5 goals25.3%
Outcome markets
South Korea or draw72.2%
Ecuador or draw57.5%
Either team wins70.3%
Draw no bet: South Korea60.4%
Draw no bet: Ecuador39.6%
South Korea win to nil27.4%
Ecuador win to nil16.7%
Team goals
South Korea to score71.6%
Ecuador to score60.9%
South Korea over 1.5 goals34.5%
Ecuador over 1.5 goals25.0%
South Korea clean sheet39.1%
Ecuador clean sheet28.4%

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  • Match highlights
  • Top five correct scores
  • Goals and BTTS chances
  • Combos
  • Custom Acca Builder

Today's acca

2 games, total odds 1.61

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Prediction, preview and head to head: South Korea vs Ecuador