Austria vs Israel Prediction - September 24, 2026

UEFA Nations LeagueWorld
Austria
vs
Israel
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.19

Published81%1.19
Now1.18

The odds at Betano have dropped from 1.19 to 1.18 since we published this pick, so the bookmaker now rates it more likely.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.41price rising, opened at 1.38
Draw4.88price falling, opened at 4.98
Away7.20price falling, opened at 8.00

Market move since Sep 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

The full market board is part of Premium, and free once this match finishes.What Premium includes

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Austria vs Israel?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Austria are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match analysis

Austria vs Israel on 24 September is shaped by Israel's defense: eight goals conceded in their last two matches. Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick is priced at 1.19, with the model's own number on it at 81 percent, and Austria's 1.4 goals a game added to Israel's 0.6 clears the line before either team's finishing even needs to spike.

Israel have conceded eight goals in their last two matches

Israel's recent defensive numbers do most of the work here: two of their last five matches ended in 0-3 and 0-5 defeats, eight goals conceded between them. Austria's attack rating of 6.5 against a side leaking at that rate is the kind of mismatch that pushes a two-goal line well within range even before either team's own scoring rate is added in.

Austria have won their last two matches at home

The hosts arrive with genuine home form of their own: back-to-back wins, 3-1 and 1-0, in their last two matches at this venue. A defence rating of 6.3 gives Austria the platform to control the game, but their own attack has produced goals in both of those recent home outings, which is the more direct route to clearing 1.5.

Israel have also played to two scoreless stretches this cycle

The way this goes wrong is a repeat of Israel's other recent trend: a 0-0 draw sits alongside those two heavy defeats in their last five, proof they can also lock a game down defensively rather than just leaking goals. If Austria's finishing goes cold against a well-organized back line, a single-goal 1-0 or a stalemate is enough to beat this bet.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Austria vs Israel