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UEFA Nations League

Austria vs Israel

Correct score
2 - 0
Alternative score
2 - 1
Featured pick
Goals: Over 1.5 @ 1.19
Match page and graded archive

Match analysis

Austria vs Israel on 24 September is shaped by Israel's defense: eight goals conceded in their last two matches. Superior's Over 1.5 goals pick is priced at 1.19, with the model's own number on it at 81 percent, and Austria's 1.4 goals a game added to Israel's 0.6 clears the line before either team's finishing even needs to spike.

Israel have conceded eight goals in their last two matches

Israel's recent defensive numbers do most of the work here: two of their last five matches ended in 0-3 and 0-5 defeats, eight goals conceded between them. Austria's attack rating of 6.5 against a side leaking at that rate is the kind of mismatch that pushes a two-goal line well within range even before either team's own scoring rate is added in.

Austria have won their last two matches at home

The hosts arrive with genuine home form of their own: back-to-back wins, 3-1 and 1-0, in their last two matches at this venue. A defence rating of 6.3 gives Austria the platform to control the game, but their own attack has produced goals in both of those recent home outings, which is the more direct route to clearing 1.5.

Israel have also played to two scoreless stretches this cycle

The way this goes wrong is a repeat of Israel's other recent trend: a 0-0 draw sits alongside those two heavy defeats in their last five, proof they can also lock a game down defensively rather than just leaking goals. If Austria's finishing goes cold against a well-organized back line, a single-goal 1-0 or a stalemate is enough to beat this bet.

AI-assisted analysis, written from our model's numbers. Predictions are informed opinions, never guarantees.

Bookmaker odds

Home1.41price rising, opened at 1.38
Draw4.88price falling, opened at 4.98
Away7.20price falling, opened at 8.00

Market move since Sep 21. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.10price falling, opened at 1.12
Under 1.55.10price rising, opened at 4.70
Over 2.51.47price falling, opened at 1.53
Under 2.52.46price rising, opened at 2.31
Over 3.52.27price falling, opened at 2.45
Under 3.51.63price rising, opened at 1.55
Both teams to score
Yes1.68price falling, opened at 1.80
No2.08price rising, opened at 1.92
Odd/Even
Odd1.86
Even1.84
Handicap
Home -1.251.83price rising, opened at 1.82
Away +1.251.89price falling, opened at 1.99

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

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Match History

Head to Head

These two have never met in our records.

Recent Form

Head to Head

Austria vs Israel: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
July 2, 2026Spain3 - 0Austria
June 28, 2026Algeria3 - 3Austria
June 22, 2026Argentina2 - 0Austria
June 17, 2026Austria3 - 1Jordan

Head to Head

Israel vs Austria: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
June 3, 2026Albania0 - 1Israel
March 26, 2026Georgia2 - 2Israel
November 13, 2025Lithuania0 - 0Israel
October 14, 2025Italy3 - 0Israel
October 11, 2025Norway5 - 0Israel
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