Notts County vs Grimsby Prediction - September 22, 2026

EFL TrophyEnglandFull time
Notts County
2:1
Grimsby
Correct scoreOur pick
1-1

Alternative:2-1

Goals: Over 1.51.22Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.59price rising, opened at 2.02
Draw3.44price falling, opened at 3.58
Away2.31price falling, opened at 3.08

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.14price falling, opened at 1.17
Under 1.54.45price rising, opened at 3.96
Over 2.51.55price falling, opened at 1.69
Under 2.52.17price rising, opened at 2.04
Over 3.52.46price falling, opened at 2.70
Under 3.51.48price rising, opened at 1.36
Both teams to score
Yes1.48price falling, opened at 1.58
No2.45price rising, opened at 2.21
Odd/Even
Odd1.85price rising, opened at 1.82
Even1.81price falling, opened at 1.84
Handicap
Home +01.94
Away +01.74

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Notts County vs Grimsby?

The model's leading scoreline is 1 - 1, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Grimsby are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Notts County and Grimsby average 2.6 goals a match between them, against a line of 1.5.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

Unlocked after full time

Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 1-18.6%Our score
  2. 2-18.7%Alternative
  3. 1-28.6%
  4. 1-08.0%
  5. 0-17.6%

Top five combined: 41.5%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeNotts CountyxG1.49
AwayGrimsbyxG1.54
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
3.8%
8.0%
5.7%
3.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
1
7.6%
8.6%
8.7%
4.3%
1.5%
0.6%
0.2%
2
5.9%
8.6%
5.1%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
3
3.4%
4.4%
3.5%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
<0.1%
4
1.3%
1.7%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.5%
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 58.4%41.6% No
Over 1.5 80.5%19.5% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 60.3%39.7% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 36.5%63.5% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Notts County win and over 2.5 goals26.4%
Notts County win and both teams score21.3%
Grimsby win and over 2.5 goals27.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals12.4%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Notts County or draw59.2%
Grimsby or draw59.9%
Either team wins80.9%
Draw no bet: Notts County49.6%
Draw no bet: Grimsby50.4%
Notts County win to nil18.8%
Grimsby win to nil19.0%
Team goals
Notts County to score77.2%
Grimsby to score77.4%
Notts County over 1.5 goals45.1%
Grimsby over 1.5 goals45.8%
Notts County clean sheet22.6%
Grimsby clean sheet22.8%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Prediction, preview and head to head: Notts County vs Grimsby
Head to Head

Head to Head

Notts County
0 - 1
Grimsby
February 28, 2026
Grimsby
0 - 2
Notts County
December 13, 2025
Notts County vs Grimsby: Head-to-Head History
DateHomeScoreAway
February 28, 2026Notts County0 - 1Grimsby
December 13, 2025Grimsby0 - 2Notts County