Rochdale vs Liverpool U21 Prediction - September 22, 2026

EFL TrophyEnglandPEN
Rochdale
6:7Pens
AET 3-3
Liverpool U21
Correct scoreOur pick
2-1

Alternative:3-1

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.32Won

Bookmaker odds

Home2.08price rising, opened at 1.98
Draw3.54price falling, opened at 3.72
Away2.98price falling, opened at 3.15

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.10
Under 1.55.00price falling, opened at 5.10
Over 2.51.43price rising, opened at 1.42
Under 2.52.46price falling, opened at 2.49
Over 3.52.12price rising, opened at 2.09
Under 3.51.64price falling, opened at 1.66
Both teams to score
Yes1.41price rising, opened at 1.40
No2.65price falling, opened at 2.70
Odd/Even
Odd1.85
Even1.81
Handicap
Home -0.251.81price rising, opened at 1.73
Away +0.251.85price falling, opened at 1.95

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Rochdale vs Liverpool U21?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 1, with 3-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Rochdale are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Rochdale won 2 of their last 5 matches; Liverpool U21 won 2 of 5.
  • Counter signalLiverpool U21 average 2.2 goals per match against 1.8 for Rochdale.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-19.4%Our score
  2. 3-17.8%Alternative
  3. 2-07.8%
  4. 3-07.2%
  5. 1-06.4%

Top five combined: 38.6%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeRochdalexG2.79
AwayLiverpool U21xG1.09
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.2%
6.4%
7.8%
7.2%
4.6%
2.8%
2.1%
1
2.9%
5.9%
9.4%
7.8%
4.8%
2.6%
2.0%
2
1.8%
4.0%
4.3%
4.3%
2.6%
1.3%
1.0%
3
0.9%
1.8%
2.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.4%
4
0.4%
0.6%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
0.1%
0.1%
5
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 60.6%39.4% No
Over 1.5 88.6%11.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 73.1%26.9% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 51.6%48.4% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Rochdale win and over 2.5 goals54.8%
Rochdale win and both teams score38.1%
Liverpool U21 win and over 2.5 goals12.2%
Draw and under 2.5 goals8.0%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Rochdale or draw83.1%
Liverpool U21 or draw31.1%
Either team wins85.9%
Draw no bet: Rochdale80.3%
Draw no bet: Liverpool U2119.7%
Rochdale win to nil30.9%
Liverpool U21 win to nil6.3%
Team goals
Rochdale to score91.5%
Liverpool U21 to score67.0%
Rochdale over 1.5 goals72.5%
Liverpool U21 over 1.5 goals31.6%
Rochdale clean sheet33.0%
Liverpool U21 clean sheet8.5%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Confirmed formations

Rochdale: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)Liverpool U21: 4-2-3-1(confirmed lineup)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Rochdale vs Liverpool U21