Crewe vs Aston Villa U21 Prediction - September 22, 2026

EFL TrophyEnglandFull time
Crewe
4:1
Aston Villa U21
Correct scoreOur pick
2-0

Alternative:2-1

Asian Handicap: Home +0.51.21Won

Bookmaker odds

Home1.34price falling, opened at 1.48
Draw4.95price rising, opened at 4.30
Away6.62price rising, opened at 5.22

Market move since Sep 20. Crossed-out numbers are the opening price.

More markets
Total goals
Over 1.51.05price falling, opened at 1.08
Under 1.56.50price rising, opened at 5.55
Over 2.51.28price falling, opened at 1.36
Under 2.53.08price rising, opened at 2.70
Over 3.51.78price falling, opened at 1.96
Under 3.51.93price rising, opened at 1.75
Both teams to score
Yes1.47
No2.47
Odd/Even
Odd1.84
Even1.82
Handicap
Home -1.51.86
Away +1.51.76

One bookmaker's current prices, not a best-price comparison. Check the odds before you bet. Results here settle on the 90-minute score, extra time excluded.

What is the prediction for Crewe vs Aston Villa U21?

The model's leading scoreline is 2 - 0, with 2-1 as the alternative. Recent form is the clearest supporting signal: Crewe are in better form heading into this match. The result can differ because recent matches may not reflect either team's level today.

Model CS-10Methodology

Match highlights

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Why this prediction

  • Crewe won 1 of their last 5 matches; Aston Villa U21 won 1 of 5.
  • Counter signalAston Villa U21 average 2.2 goals per match against 1.8 for Crewe.

Markets to consider

Best price we found across books
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Premium model depth

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Post match archive

Grade: WON

This is the same model snapshot Premium members could view before kickoff. It has not been recalculated from the result.

Scoreline Depth

  1. 2-08.5%Our score
  2. 2-19.4%Alternative
  3. 3-08.2%
  4. 3-17.8%
  5. 1-06.9%

Top five combined: 40.8%

Full score grid

Score Matrix

HomeCrewexG2.84
AwayAston Villa U21xG0.92
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
2.1%
6.9%
8.5%
8.2%
5.6%
3.4%
2.6%
1
2.5%
5.2%
9.4%
7.8%
5.4%
2.9%
2.2%
2
1.5%
3.4%
3.7%
4.1%
2.6%
1.3%
1.0%
3
0.7%
1.4%
1.8%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.3%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
5
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
6+
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%
<0.1%

Market Probability View

Both teams to score Yes 57.6%42.4% No
Over 1.5 88.6%11.4% Under 1.5
Over 2.5 73.4%26.6% Under 2.5
Over 3.5 51.7%48.3% Under 3.5

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

Full Market Board

Correlated combos

Crewe win and over 2.5 goals58.4%
Crewe win and both teams score38.6%
Aston Villa U21 win and over 2.5 goals9.9%
Draw and under 2.5 goals7.3%

Joint probabilities read from this match's score model. A combined market is not the product of two separate odds.

Outcome markets
Crewe or draw86.1%
Aston Villa U21 or draw26.3%
Either team wins87.6%
Draw no bet: Crewe84.1%
Draw no bet: Aston Villa U2115.9%
Crewe win to nil35.1%
Aston Villa U21 win to nil5.2%
Team goals
Crewe to score92.7%
Aston Villa U21 to score62.8%
Crewe over 1.5 goals75.1%
Aston Villa U21 over 1.5 goals27.3%
Crewe clean sheet37.2%
Aston Villa U21 clean sheet7.3%

Model estimates from the same score model. These are probabilities, not betting recommendations.

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Today's acca

2 selections at 1.74

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Team news

Expected formations

Crewe: 4-3-3(predicted)
Prediction, preview and head to head: Crewe vs Aston Villa U21